奶牛保险对奶牛养殖规模的影响研究

作为我国一项重要的财政惠农举措,奶牛保险政策的目的在于利用保险手段建立疫病和自然灾害的风险防范机制,稳定养殖户收入,调节并促进养殖户的奶牛养殖行为。本文通过对内蒙古自治区500户奶牛养殖户的问卷调查,应用基准模型和工具变量模型,实证检验奶牛保险政策对养殖户奶牛养殖规模决策行为的影响。研究结果表明:在控制养殖户参保行为的内生性后,奶牛保险政策的参与显著改变了养殖户的奶牛养殖决策行为,有助于提高养殖户从事奶牛养殖的积极性,激励养殖户扩大奶牛养殖规模。     

农机安全互助保险购买意愿影响因素的实证分析——基于陕西、湖北的调查数据

论文基于陕西、湖北省5个县（市、区）514个农机户的调查数据，利Logistic回归分析方法建立实证模型，研究影响农机安全互助保险购买意愿的主要因素。结果表明，家庭年收入、需求程度、保费金额是否合理、赔偿金额是否合理以及政府补贴等五个因素的影响较为明显，其中保费金额是否合理的影响为负相关关系，其他因素与农机户购买农机安全互助保险的意愿之间呈正相关关系。     

能繁母猪保险政策的养殖户支付意愿分析

能繁母猪保险作为农业政策性保险,是我国重要的支农政策手段之一。本文基于广东、四川两省293份生猪养殖户调查问卷,从政策需求角度,运用支付意愿法获得养殖户对能繁母猪保险的支付意愿及对母猪保险政策评价等数据,以此分析该政策的福利效应及实施效果。研究结果发现,能繁母猪保险的支付意愿受农户收入、损失效率、养殖户文化程度及生猪养殖风险等因素影响。政府应提高农民风险意识,增强保险公司积极性,保持该政策的连贯性等来提高其实施效果。     

农户水稻保险支付意愿影响因素的实证研究——基于广东34地1772户农户的经验数据

文章基于对广东省34地农户稻作保险购买行为的调研,采用开放的二分选择式条件估价法获取1772户农户水稻保险支付意愿(Willingness To Pay,WTP)数据,运用Tobit模型针对稻作风险、农户风险意识、风险管理替代工具和农户家庭特征四类二十个因素进行了检验和讨论。研究表明,产量变异系数、风险损失频率等七个因素对支付意愿的影响最为显著性,家庭纯收入、对农业保险的认同等四个因素对支付意愿的影响较为显著,保险免赔率、生产总成本等六个因素对支付意愿有一定影响,而稻作面积、是否参与过其他保险等三个因素的影响甚微,文章最后根据测算结果提出了发展广东省农业保险的政策建议。     

关于深入推进黑龙江省关于深入推进黑龙江省政策性农业保险工作的调研报告政策性农业保险工作的调研报告

一、基本情况2007年,财政部选择吉林等6个省(区)进行了中央财政农业保险保费补贴试点。2008年,黑龙江省根据农业生产特色和参与各方意愿、能力,开展了水稻、玉米、小麦、大豆、能繁母猪、奶牛等6个品种农业保险保费补贴试点。马铃薯、甜菜、森林、育肥猪等4个品种由于种种原因尚未开展。几年来,黑龙江省财政部门立足自身职能,积极配合相关部门,积极参与农业保险制度建设、补贴资金筹集、管理和监督     

基于CVM的我国农业气象指数保险支付意愿分析——以浙江柑橘种植户为例

支付意愿反映的保险需求关系到保险的发展。首先以基于二分选择式条件估值法(CVM)获取的浙江省衢州市柑橘种植户调查数据为例,对农户购买农业气象指数保险的平均支付意愿(WTP)进行了测算,得出农户平均支付意愿为78.21元/亩,远低于理论厘定的保费。然后,运用Logit模型对农户购买气象指数保险支付意愿的影响因素进行实证分析,结果显示价格水平、气象站距离、住房估价和贷款额与农户购买气象指数保险的支付意愿显著负相关,而柑橘收入比重和农户对农业保险的认可度与农户购买气象指数保险的支付意愿显著正相关。最后,根据研究结论得到了几点有利于解决农业气象指数保险需求不足的启示。     

关于深入推进黑龙江省政策性农业保险工作的调研报告

<正>一、基本情况2007年,财政部选择吉林等6个省(区)进行了中央财政农业保险保费补贴试点。2008年,黑龙江省根据农业生产特色和参与各方意愿、能力,开展了水稻、玉米、小麦、大豆、能繁母猪、奶牛等6个品种农业保险保费补贴试点。马铃薯、甜菜、森林、育肥猪等4个品种由于种种原因尚未开展。几年来,黑龙江省财政部门立足自身职能,积极配合相关部门,积极参与农业保险制度建设、补贴资金筹集、管理和监督     

关于创新湖南农业保险经营机制的思考

一、湖南农业保险现状及制约因素 (一)发展现状 1.业务逐年萎缩.湖南农业保险起步于1984年,由原中国人民保险公司分支机构经营,相继开办了水稻、棉花、烤烟、森林火灾、生猪养殖、养鸡、奶牛等险种,保险责任主要是自然灾害.到1992年底农业保险险种增加到50多个,基本上渗透到农业生产的多个方面,当年实现保费4584万元,达到历史最高峰.由于诸多因素的制约,1993年开始,农业险种不断减少,经营规模逐年萎缩,大部分险种在2000年以前都先后停办,到2003年只剩下烤烟种植、森林火灾保险和少量的耕牛、奶牛养殖保险.2005年,湖南农业保险保费为924万元,较上年下降25.6%,仅占当年全省财产险保费的0.31%.     

"保险+期货"模式在养殖成本风险管理中的应用 ——以海口养殖类价格险为例

在当前国际贸易形势愈加复杂的情形下,养殖户受粮食价格波动制约,面临较大的养殖成本风险,其中"保险+期货"模式能够有效防范饲料价格波动带来的风险.以2019年在海口市开展的养殖类"价格保险+期货"试点为例,围绕试点项目运行机制、项目运行效果、项目优势与存在的问题等方面展开分析.结果表明:试点项目成效明显,成功为养殖户规避了饲料价格上涨带来的成本风险,有利于推动海南省养殖业的稳定发展;但试点项目依然存在保费过高、"基差风险"难以避免等不足.最后,针对养殖类"价格保险+期货"模式的推广提出政策建议.     

政策性农业保险试点省份农户参保意愿实证研究——以河南为例

本文基于农户对农业保险需求的视角,通过对相关文献的回顾,提出了影响农户参加农业保险意愿的因素假说。然后,通过对国家政策性农业保险试点省份河南4县市的农户参保意愿及影响因素的调查数据,运用Logistic模型实证发现,农民的文化程度、收入、农户遭受的风险种类数、农户对农业风险的态度及农业保费的高低是影响农户购买农业保险的主要因素。为此,本文提出了相应的对策和政策建议。     

Investment guarantees in unit-linked life insurance from the customer perspective

Interest rate guarantees are a typical contract feature in unit-linked-life insurance products. As the financial crisis of 2007/2008 has shown, these guarantees can be of substantial value for policyholders since they ensure that at least a minimum amount will be paid back even if the mutual fund value falls below a specific guaranteed level. However, from the insurance company’s view, these guarantees can be costly—especially in highly volatile markets—due to the required risk management measures which must be undertaken to secure the guarantees promised to the customers. Thus, the aim of this paper is to investigate whether customers really value these guarantees and if their willingness to pay (WTP) is sufficient to cover the guarantee costs. To elicit customer WTP, we use an online questionnaire and compare these results to the actual guarantee costs calculated with the Black and Scholes option pricing formula. One main finding is that even though most of the participants in the online questionnaire work in the financial industry, subjective prices are difficult to derive and are lower, on average, than the prices obtained using a financial pricing model. However, many participants are still willing to pay a substantially higher price.     

可持续方针下基本医疗保险住院待遇支付政策分析——以江苏省如皋市为例

医疗保险是世界公认的难题。待遇支付政策对医疗保险事业的可持续发展影响深远。针对医疗保险制度待遇提升乏力、医保基金高结余、病患高负担等问题,本文以职工基本医疗保险制度为例,且以住院医疗待遇支付政策为研究对象,结合如皋市的实践,着重讨论基本医疗保险住院待遇支付政策体系建设课题,提出了"五个必须坚持"的政策设计重构理念。     

技术进步、保险保障与农民收入——基于东中西部地区地级单位的面板GMM方法

使用面板GMM方法,对我国322个地级行政单位2007-2015年数据进行实证研究,结果发现,总体上农业技术进步与农业保险保障对农民收入具有正向作用,但部分区域存在不同结论;同时,农业技术与农业保险的协同效应并没有在保障农民收入方面很好地发挥作用.为此,在政策制定过程中,一方面应重视区域间的差异性,另一方面应强化技术与保障两种工具之间的协同效应.     

Financial Statements Insurance

The fact that auditors are paid by the companies they audit creates an inherent conflict of interest. We analyze how the provision of financial statements insurance could eliminate this conflict of interest and properly align the incentives of auditors with those of shareholders. We first show that when the benefits to obtaining funding are sufficiently large, the existing legal and regulatory regime governing financial reporting (and auditing) results in low quality financial statements. Consequently, the financial statements of firms are misleading and firms that yield a low rate‐of‐return (low fundamental value) are over‐funded relative to firms characterized by a high rate‐of‐return (high fundamental value). We present a mechanism whereby companies would purchase financial statements insurance that provides coverage to investors against losses suffered as a result of misrepresentation in financial reports. The insurance premia that companies pay for the coverage would be publicized. The insurers appoint and pay the auditors who attest to the accuracy of the financial statements of the prospective insurance clients. For a given level of coverage firms announcing lower premia would distinguish themselves in the eyes of the investors as companies with higher quality financial statements relative to those with higher premia. Every company would be eager to pay lower premia (for a given level of coverage) resulting in a flight to high audit quality. As a result, when financial statements insurance is available and the insurer hires the auditor, capital is provided to the most efficient firms.     

基于居民支付意愿的洪水保险定价研究

洪水保险的合理定价是制约洪水保险建立和推广的瓶颈之一,以往的洪水保险定价研究都是从供给的角度考虑的,而供给与需求之间存在差异。为了探索居民对于洪水保险的需求价格,从居民的洪水保险支付意愿出发,运用条件价值评估法(CVM法),借助调查问卷,实证分析得出:我国居民洪水保险支付意愿价格为81元,并分析了对于支付意愿的影响因素。     

Directors' and officers' liability insurance and acquisition outcomes

We examine the effect of directors' and officers' liability insurance (D&O insurance) on the outcomes of merger and acquisition (M&A) decisions. We find that acquirers whose executives have a higher level of D&O insurance coverage experience significantly lower announcement-period abnormal stock returns. Further analyses suggest that acquirers with a higher level of D&O insurance protection tend to pay higher acquisition premiums and their acquisitions appear to exhibit lower synergies. The evidence provides support for the notion that the provision of D&O insurance can induce unintended moral hazard by shielding directors and officers from the discipline of shareholder litigation.     

Framing the decision to buy long-term care insurance: losses and gains in the context of statistical and narrative evidence

Rational models have difficulty explaining low levels of demand for long-term care insurance. We posit that insurers have framed the need for insurance in a manner that unintentionally promotes risk-seeking behavior (i.e., high probability loss frame), and that alternative frames can better promote willingness to insure. We further posit that emotional frames are more effective than rational risk frames in promoting willingness to pay. Survey evidence supports these hypotheses: emotional narrative frames are associated with greatest willingness to pay, and the high probability loss frame was associated with among the lowest average amounts willing to pay.     

河南省城乡居民社会养老保险缴费档次选择研究——以开封市尉氏县为例

城乡居民社会养老保险制度将城镇居民社会养老保险制度与新型农村养老保险制度合二为一,打破了城乡二元分割的格局,有利于全体人民共享改革发展新成果。但是,在参保过程中,参保者多选择最低的缴费档次,参保质量有待提升。文章通过对尉氏县实地调研数据的参数检验,找到了影响城乡居民社会养老保险制度参保者选择低缴费档次的原因,得出了只有完善城乡居民社会养老保险的相关制度,才能更好地引导参保者选择更高的缴费档次的结论,并提出了健全多缴多得激励机制、增强制度公信力、提升基层社保经办人员业务素养、加大政策宣传力度等几点建议。     

职工基本医疗保险最低缴费年限研究

现行职工基本医疗保险制度规定退休人员不缴费,可能引发两个问题：一是影响社会保险公平性;二是在人口老龄化趋势下基金支付压力过大。本文认为设置职工基本医疗保险最低缴费年限是社会保险公平性和共济性的体现,有助于明晰参保人的权利与义务。也是缓解基本医疗保险“系统老龄化”的重要措施。文章基于基金长期平衡的思想,通过引入“应缴费年限”和“可缴费年限”两个中间变量构建了普遍适用于任一统筹地区的最低缴费年限计算模型,并运用所构建模型进行实例分析和提出政策建议。     

CEO wage dynamics: Estimates from a learning model

The level of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) pay responds asymmetrically to good and bad news about the CEO's ability. The average CEO captures approximately half of the surpluses from good news, implying CEOs and shareholders have roughly equal bargaining power. In contrast, the average CEO bears none of the negative surplus from bad news, implying CEOs have downward rigid pay. These estimates are consistent with the optimal contracting benchmark of Harris and Hölmstrom (1982) and do not appear to be driven by weak governance. Risk-averse CEOs accept significantly lower compensation in return for the insurance provided by downward rigid pay.