普惠金融发展的地区差异、收敛性及影响因素研究*——基于中国省级面板数据的检验

本文利用2005—2016年省级面板数据，对我国各地区普惠金融发展水平进行测度，并在此基础上探讨其收敛性及影响因素。结果表明：（1）我国普惠金融发展水平在考察期内总体偏低，并且呈现出显著的地区差异性。（2）绝对β收敛在全国、中部和西部均存在，而东部不存在；条件β收敛在全国、东部和西部均存在，而中部不存在。（3）政府干预程度、市场化程度、人力资本质量、非正规金融以及外商直接投资对普惠金融发展均具有重要的影响。     

The effect of corporate real estate ownership on R&D innovation: credit relief vs. resource replacement in China

Against the background of supply-side structural reform and the real estate financialisation in China, this study investigates the impact of real estate holdings on R&D investment using data of enterprises listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. Our empirical results yield five main findings. First, enterprises holding more real estate assets face more serious financial constraints, thus restraining corporate innovation efficiency. Second, when the profit margin gap between entity enterprises and the real estate industry is larger, enterprises are more inclined to transfer industrial capital into the real estate industry, thus reducing R&D investment. Third, when the degree of marketisation is high, intensified market competition, the optimal allocation of factor and product markets, and stronger patent protection will weaken the restraining effect of corporate real estate holdings on R&D investment. Fourth, monopoly enterprises obtain potential profits more than undertaking risks from the real estate industry, they are more willing to hold real estate, thus strengthening the restraining effect of real estate holdings on innovation. Finally, investors' regional preference intensifies the restraining effect of corporate real estate holdings on R&D investment. Our empirical evidence can guide entity enterprises on how to effectively balance short-term (non-productive) and long-term (productive) capital investment.     

关系质量对企业知识创造绩效的作用机理：一个被调节的中介模型

基于嵌入性视角，分别引入知识转移、合作模式作为中介变量和调节变量，深入探究关系质量影响企业知识创造绩效的内在机理。利用277份来自全国多地的制造业及高新技术企业调查问卷，采用多元回归方法进行实证研究。结果表明：经济型和社会型关系质量均正向影响企业知识创造绩效；社会型关系质量通过元素知识和架构知识转移正向影响企业知识创造绩效。在契约治理模式下，经济型关系质量更倾向于通过元素知识转移正向影响企业知识创造绩效；在股权治理模式下，社会型关系质量更倾向于通过架构知识转移正向影响企业知识创造绩效。     

网络慈善失范现象及其治理

在网络慈善蓬勃发展的同时，各类失范现象凸显：网络慈善求助信息真假难辨导致诈捐事件频发，善款使用透明度缺失，募捐平台存在谋利行为，网络慈善沦为非法活动的工具。其主要原因包括网络慈善平台信息甄别能力有限、公开透明机制建设不足、网络慈善平台监管不够、配套法律法规不足等。因此，规范网络慈善需要强化网络慈善信息审核、加强公开透明制度建设、强化对网络慈善平台的治理以及推进法治化治理。     

Trade, product cycles, and inequality within and between countries

Abstract.  This paper incorporates Northern product innovation and product‐cycle‐driven technology transfer into the continuum‐of‐goods Heckscher‐Ohlin model. The creation of very skill‐intensive goods induces the North to transfer production of older, less skill‐intensive goods to the South. These relocated goods are the most skill intensive by Southern standards. Hence, product cycles raise the relative demand for skilled workers and thus wage inequality within both regions. This runs contrary to the Stolper‐Samuelson theorem, but accords well with the fact that wage inequality has risen in both Northern and Southern countries. Moreover, product cycles increase income inequality between countries. JEL classification: F1     

研究生就业形势及策略

自1999年研究生大规模扩招以来,毕业生数量激增,研究生“天之骄子”的地位不复存在,如何有效面对就业形势,转变就业观念,提高就业策略是本文探讨的主要内容。     

湖南省休闲农业发展战略研究

湖南具有丰富的乡村景观资源,较为优越的区位交通条件。该文在调查的基础上,分析了湖南休闲农业的现状,找出了湖南休闲农业存在的问题,提出了湖南休闲农业发展目标及战略重点:长株潭经济发展区重点发展以农业科技主题园和参与、体验性强的休闲景观群,结合农业产业带,发展特色休闲农业;湘中南区重点发展丘陵生态观光农业、风景区观光农业和农耕文化休闲农业;环洞庭湖区重点发展水乡特色的农渔风光等特色体验休闲农业,建设观光、保护等于一体的湿地休闲基地;湘西山区大力发展森林生态休闲,大力发展和挖掘民俗风情,体验民俗文化。     

税制改革与税收文化滞后分析

本文引入了税收文化滞后的概念,阐明了进行税制改革时将会出现税收文化滞后现象,它将影响到税制结构优化目标的实现,因此必须尽力减弱其影响,以确保税制改革的成效。     

A Dynamic Analysis of Fixed- and Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Terminations

This paper provides a side-by-side comparison of loan-level statistical models for fixed- and adjustable-rate mortgages. Multinomial logit models for quarterly conditional probabilities of default and prepayment are estimated. We find that the estimated impacts of embedded option values for prepayment and default are generally quite similar across both FRM and ARM loans, providing additional empirical support for the basic predictions of the options theory. We also find that differences in estimates of conditional probabilities of prepayment and default associated with mortgage age, origination period, original LTV, and relative loan size, indicate the continued significance of these other economic and demographic factors for empirical models of mortgage terminations.     

如何做好销售谈判的准备工作

一次销售谈判大致划分为三个阶段:计划与准备阶段、面谈阶段、后续收尾阶段。虽然讲到谈判,大多数人总联想到面谈,但计划与准备阶段是这三个阶段最关键的,至少一个典型的谈判其结果如何,有50%在你和客户见面之前就已经决定了。计划与准备阶段如此之重要,而大多数销售人员进行谈判时仍是仓促上阵,未能做充分的准备,使得谈判结果不能尽如人意。因此,在每一次销售谈判之前做好充分的计划与准备,是我们取得良好谈判结果的基石。销售谈判的计划与准备阶段涉及以下几项内容:一.确定谈判目标1.知道自己需要什么:如果没有事先考虑好自己应该从谈判中…