沪、深、港股市信息溢出效应与动态相关性——基于DCC-（BV）EGARCH-VAR的检验

本文将收益与波动作为刻画股市信息的代理变量，将沪市（深市）受到的收益和波动冲击分解为来自自身的“本地因素”，来自深市（沪市）的“区域因素”（作为内生变量引入）和来自港市的“世界因素”（作为外生变量引入），首次将DCC-（BV）EGARCH-VAR的方法引入对沪、深、港三地股票市场收益和波动溢出效应与动态相关性研究。     

对组织机构代码当前几项重点工作的思考

高度重视并大力推进国民经济和社会信息化是我国“十五”规划的一项重要决策。近日朱基总理在考察国家税务总局信息化工作时，要求在加快金税工程建设的同时，“金关工程”、“金卡工程”、“金盾工程”等也要加快建设步伐，并尽快实现海关、银行、外汇、公安、外贸与税务等信息系统之间的互联互通，以充分发挥信息网络的作用，促进电子政府工程建设，以提高政府管理和执法水平。只有在健全法制的基础上，建立信用文化，实现政府管理信息化，才能更好地发展社会主义市场经济，加快现代化建设。组织机构代码工作与金税工程、金关工程、金卡工…     

专业技术人员职业倾向与职业成功关系实证研究

在目前专业技术人员流失率居高不下的背景下,管理专业技术人员职业倾向对有效发挥专业技术人员作用具有重要意义。本文围绕专业技术人员职业倾向与职业成功关系展开实证研究,发现专业技术人员呈现多样化的职业倾向,并不是以技能型及其相关的职业倾向为主导;同时发现专业技术人员的一些个人因素会影响其职业倾向和职业成功,不同的职业倾向会影响职业成功的不同方面。论文依据专业技术人员职业倾向特点及其对职业成功的不同影响,提出了保留和激励专业技术人员的建议。     

金融制度缺陷:我国农村金融效率低下的根源

本文通过统计数据对我国农村金融资源配置效率的分析表明,我国农村金融资源配置效率相对低下.造成农村金融资源配置效率低下的原因,是现阶段农村金融制度的有效供给不足,导致了金融资源配置无法满足帕累托条件.因此,提高农村金融资源配置效率的关键,在于农村金融制度的创新和有效供给.     

企业柔性管理国内外研究述评

随着市场环境变化程度的加快,各竞争对手强弱力量的不断更替,一个企业需要具备一定的柔性来应对这些变化并做出相应和及时的调整。文章在阅读国内外有关柔性文献的基础上,回顾了柔性的定义及其演进、柔性的类型(维度)、柔性的要素、柔性在企业运作与供应链管理中的表现及意义,以及柔性的度量。并就企业柔性管理的研究提出作者的看法和思考。     

Assessment of the agricultural sustainability of Shaanxi Province,China

It is significant for the study on the sustainable development of regional agriculture to monitor and measurethe trend of agricultural development with an effective method. The sustainable development of regional agricultureshould accord with regional population, rural economic development, social progress, resource and environmentalsupport. This paper establishes the evaluating indicators system of sustainable development of regional agriculture,evaluates the agricultural sustainable development in Shaanxi Province with a comprehensive multi-indicator method,analyzes the support of resource and environment for regional agriculture by the resource-development index and theenvironment-development index, and gets the conclusion that the indicators, such as education level, the income gapbetween urban and rural residents, the per capita area under cultivation and the consumption of pesticides and chemicalfertilizers per hectare, are the main factors to restrict agricultural sustainability, and that the pressure of the developmentof subsystems of population, economy and society on the subsystems of resource and environment turns out to bestronger and stronger. Agricultural environment gets better, but resource becomes one of the important factors to restrictthe development of regional agriculture. In a word, this paper highlights the potentials and limitations of sustainableagriculture of Shaanxi and helps identify the development direction in the future.     

从国营到国有——国家股转让效果分析

本文系统地研究了从1997年到2000年在上海证券交易所和深圳证券交易所发生的国有资产局将控制权转让给国有独资企业和国有法人企业的案例数据。研究发现国家股控制权转让后公司业绩有了明显的改善,同时证券市场对国家股转让行为做出了积极的反应,产生了明显的超额收益。     

基于个人信息化水平评价的企业人才甄选模型

传统企业在甄选人才时，或者没有标准，或者制定的标准过时，或者标准过于复杂，因而导致企业无法甄选到合适的人才。从信息化硬件投入、信息化知识、信息化设备利用率3个角度出发，建立了个人信息化水平评价指标体系，提出个人信息化水平评价的企业人才甄选模型，并且运用遗传算法加以求解，得到的结果更具有客观性：该模型可以用来指导现代企业进行人才甄选或企业内部人才评价，从而帮助企业找出其员工的个人信息化水平差异的原因．最终达到提高企业信息化水平和整体效益的目标。     

A multiregional model of China and its application

China's rapid economic transformation since 1979 has been accompanied by a stark regional disparity with the coastal provinces integrating swiftly into the world markets while inland regions lagging far behind in the industrialisation process. The growth imbalance has placed China's provinces into different stages of development and called for different policy responses to deal with different challenges they are facing. Similarly, a national policy initiated by the central government is likely to be interpreted and implemented in different ways when local governments take into consideration the different conditions in their localities. Therefore, it would be extremely valuable for policy makers and researchers to have an analytical tool that is capable of studying interactions among the provincial economies and the dynamic relationship between the centre and local governments. The multiregional econometric model of China presented in this paper is the first attempt to provide such a tool. The pioneering model consists of over 1200 equations, covering 30 provinces of China that are linked by inter-regional flows of goods and services. The model is used to study the impact of fiscal recentralisation in the 1990s. The counterfactual simulation results show that when China's central government diverted tax revenue from provincial governments, it achieved higher budgetary revenue for the central government but at the expense of lower overall budgetary revenue and slower economic growth.     

欧美国债市场做市商制度分析与比较

考察国外债券市场发展的实践,我们发现做市商制度是活跃国债市场不可缺少的因素,起着举足轻重的作用.目前,我国银行间债券市场虽然也存在做市商制度,但是有行无市的困扰一直存在,形同虚设.本文重点对美国国债市场和欧洲MTS市场的做市商制度进行介绍,以期对我国国债市场做市商制度的发展和完善起到一定的借鉴作用.