Does higher government debt link to higher social expenditure? New method,new evidence

Scholars believe that higher social expenditures are usually linked with higher government debts, whereas higher debts reduce social expenditures. However, it is reasonable to speculate that higher government debt may contribute to higher social spending, while fiscal deficits occur during a recession, which commonly creates greater demand for social expenditure. For a deeper investigation, this paper revisits the dynamic relationship between social spending and public debts in the time-frequency domain, using the novel wavelet-coherency analysis as well as the phase-difference technique to derive the co-moved and causal relationships between social spending and public debts in 13 OECD countries. The evidence identifies a dynamic relationship between variables. While higher social expenditures increase government debts, the shocks from government debts to social expenditures are conversely uncertain. We discover that higher government debt does reduce social expenditures, but it may be linked to higher social spending. The robustness of partial coherency and phase-difference discovers the role of a political party in the decision over social welfare programmes in the sample countries.     

金融集聚对安徽产业结构优化升级的影响研究 ——基于面板数据模型的分析

本文基于2000-2018年安徽省16个城市市级的面板数据,采取了Hansen的门限效应模型,实证验证了金融集聚对于产业结构升级具有非线性门槛效应.研究结果表明:金融集聚在不同时期、发展程度不同情况下对产业结构的影响存在较大差异.在此基础上,文章引入人力资本、外商直接投资、政府干预、科技、经济发展水平、信息化水平六种因素综合考察模型的门槛水平,从而得出在安徽金融集聚程度较低的部分城市区域,仍存在促进产业结构优化升级的进步空间的结论.文章最终对安徽金融集聚发展和产业发展给出相关对策建议.     

High‐performance work systems and workplace performance in small,medium‐sized and large firms

This article draws on the Organisational Growth and Development (OGD) life cycle model to explore the relationship between high‐performance work systems (HPWS) and performance in firms of different size, thereby extending understanding of congruence or ‘best fit’ theory within strategic HRM debates. With reference to management control theory, economies of scale and the availability of specialist managerial skills, the article hypothesises that while an HPWS–performance relationship might exist in small, medium‐sized and large firms, the relationship will be stronger in large firms than in both small and medium‐sized firms, and stronger in medium‐sized firms than in small firms. Analysis of data from the British Workplace Employment Relations Survey demonstrates, however, that there is no association between HPWS and workplace performance in medium‐sized firms, in contrast to the positive relationship between HPWS and performance found in large firms and between HPWS and labour productivity in small firms.     

金庸小说的主题学研究与定位——刘卫英、王立《金庸小说母题及中外比较研究》读后

《金庸小说母题及中外比较研究》一书,从多种母题、主题、意象来探讨金庸小说的民族文学特征、民族文化内蕴生成以及外来佛经故事影响。注意在一个武侠文学传统的传承性链条上,发掘金庸小说的多重文化价值。在具体母题、意象的实证探究中,非常重视主题学理论方法的运用,拓展了主题学研究的视阈与空间,进一步验证和提升了主题学研究方法的学术意义与价值。     

唐山市新型城镇化与农业产业升级互动关系研究

［目的］农业产业升级是新型城镇化发展的基础，探讨两者间的互动关系有助于发展农村经济、缩小城乡差距和解决三农问题。［方法］首先构建新型城镇化和农业产业升级指标体系，通过熵值法计算各个指标的相对重要性，确定权重大小，进而通过灰色关联法计算两者间的关系。［结果］（1）结果表明唐山市新型城镇化系统中人口城镇化的水平最高，生态城镇化的水平最低，经济和社会城镇化的发展水平介于人口和生态城镇化之间。（2）农业产业升级系统中农业经济水平在农业产业升级系统中占据重要地位，而农业合作社、附加值产值、产业组织模式和科技成果对农业产业升级的贡献程度较低。（3）唐山市新型城镇化和农业产业升级关联系数都在0700以上，说明新型城镇化和农业产业升级系统之间存在极强的互动关系。（4）人口城镇化与农业产业升级发展密切相关，经济城镇化、社会城镇化和生态城镇化与农业经济水平的关系程度最高。［结论］根据唐山市目前新型城镇化和农业产业升级的发展水平，加强农业产业升级有利于推动新型城镇化建设，完善新型城镇化建设会带动农业产业的升级发展，两者相互促进，互相补充，共同发展。     

Differences in the determinants and targeting of antidumping: China and India compared

Despite both being developing countries, China and India have markedly contrasting patterns in their use and targeting of antidumping (AD) measures. We explore the factors driving AD use by these two countries, considering in turn macroeconomic, strategic and other determinants. We find more regular or systematic features of AD use by China, while India displays a less systematic pattern of AD use. Economic growth, AD club effect and free trade agreement participation are shown to constrain AD use by China. Compared to India, AD use by China is also more sensitive across industries. Furthermore, China targets developed countries more than developing countries, while India is less discriminating with respect to the country type it targets.     

梦想与现实间的悲情抉择——电影《海上钢琴师》中的象征意蕴

《海上钢琴师》(《The Legend of 1900》)以20世纪生活为故事背景,演绎了男主人公"1900"的音乐世界和船上生活。主人公最后的悲情抉择是他对整个现代社会的拒绝。电影中的轮船、音乐、城市等元素都具有象征意义。文章阐释这些电影元素的象征意蕴,挖掘电影对人类梦想的悲情演绎,以及对现代社会的深刻批判。     

从县域金融机构挤兑事件看防范区域金融风险

2016年3月5日,河北省某县部分农村信用联社因谣言出现集中取款事件,之后迅速蔓延至周边8县,直至3月11日形势恢复稳定.2016年11月13日和2017年2月18日,石家庄某县农村商业银行、某市农村信用联社部分分支机构出现集中取款事件.近一时期,区域挤兑事件频繁发生,以上几起挤兑事件具有共性特点,折射出脆弱的县域金融生态现状,值得思考.     

国有资本经营预算支出下的非效率投资

近年来,国有资本经营预算的收入与支出问题成为社会关注的焦点,国有资本经营预算支出下存在着非效率投资、民生支出比例较低等问题.而在国有资本经营预算支出这一宏观框架之下的非效率投资存在资本制度内循环、预算软约束助力、牺牲国民福利高水平、经济贡献小的运行特征,依据对特征的分析总结,发现在框架下由于预算制度尚不健全、制度下支出的结构性缺陷、制度中的监管漏洞导致了非效率投资,并就完善法律、补充预算框架、设定专门投资机构、构建监管体系方面提出相关非效率投资的整治路径.     

新型小农经济发展观

小农经济以其独特的生命力生存于历史近万年,但传统的小农经济与社会主义公有制存在冲突。在社会主义社会大背景中,唯有在科学发展观指导下,对小农经济科学改造,形成新型小农经济—家庭承包经营,才能赋予了它新的生命力,并使其不断完善,走出具有中国特色的农村、农业社会主义现代化道路。