对江苏省电力负荷进行回归预测

本文主要根据2001-2011年江苏省用电量样本数据,建立了江苏省电力负荷与人均GDP、工业化以及人口数之间的多元回归预测方程,并预测了江苏省2014-2020年总用电量数据,在此基础上提出了相应的建议。     

银行数字化转型思考

数字技术的快速发展和广泛应用对社会和经济都有着深远的影响。数字化转型已然成为各行各业的主旋律,金融领域更是转型的排头兵,各家银行先后投入大量资源进行数字生态建设。然而,"数字化"与原有的"信息化"是什么关系?我们所说的"数字化转型"到底是转什么?转型的路径和目标又是什么?     

高职教育中专业的职业性意蕴

职业性是高职教育专业最突出的市场性特征,同时,职业性也广泛见诸于普通高等教育专业类型。在职业性标准上的区分,凸显两种类型教育专业不同的内在逻辑。     

灸下腹任脉穴治疗子宫内膜异位症疼痛的临床研究

目的艾条灸下腹任脉穴治疗子宫内膜异位症疼痛的效果。方法试验组选下腹任脉中极、关元、气海穴,进行艾条灸法,而对照组应用口服中药。结果两组经统计学处理无意义,但显效经统计学处理有意义,P<0.05。结论艾条灸下腹任脉穴治疗子宫内膜异位症疼痛,效果较好,有推广价值。     

高校党建工作中的“二微”运用刍议

微博和微信（＂二微＂）推动着移动互联网时代的到来,并极大地影响了青年党员的认知模式和行为方式。在高校的党建中,运用微博和微信开展工作无疑是大势所趋。本文立足＂微时代＂背景,分析微博和微信的特点,并就运用＂二微＂开展党建工作进行了探讨。     

基于RC-AHP模型的肉鸡产业“公司+农户”契约稳定性的评价研究

契约稳定对于"公司+农户"的经营模式具有重要的意义,而契约稳定的评价模型是衡量契约稳定的重要工具。本文以山东省五家肉鸡加工企业为例,基于RC-AHP方法构建契约稳定评价模型进行评价和分析。研究表明,资产专用性对契约稳定影响较大,交易不确定性和交易频率对契约稳定性的影响相对较小。同时,交易周期、市场价格的不确定性和物质资产专用性对契约稳定性也有重要的影响。     

Arrow–Debreu equilibria for rank‐dependent utilities with heterogeneous probability weighting

We study Arrow–Debreu equilibria for a one‐period‐two‐date pure exchange economy with rank‐dependent utility agents having heterogeneous probability weighting and outcome utility functions. In particular, we allow the economy to have a mix of expected utility agents and rank‐dependent utility ones, with nonconvex probability weighting functions. The standard approach for convex economy equilibria fails due to the incompatibility with second‐order stochastic dominance. The representative agent approach devised in Xia and Zhou (2016) does not work either due to the heterogeneity of the weighting functions. We overcome these difficulties by considering the comonotone allocations, on which the rank‐dependent utilities become concave. Accordingly, we introduce the notion of comonotone Pareto optima, and derive their characterizing conditions. With the aid of the auxiliary problem of price equilibria with transfers, we provide a sufficient condition in terms of the model primitives under which an Arrow–Debreu equilibrium exists, along with the explicit expression of the state‐price density in equilibrium. This new, general sufficient condition distinguishes the paper from previous related studies with homogeneous and/or convex probability weightings.     

迷惘·悖谬·畸变——麦克尤恩《家庭制造》的文学伦理学解析

《家庭制造》是伊恩·麦克尤恩的短篇小说集《最初的爱情,最后的仪式》中反响最为热烈的一部作品。该作品主人公"我"屡屡突破道德禁忌,令人心悸地上演了一部道德滑坡与伦理缺失的成长迷误剧。从文学伦理学的批评视角分析少年主人公"我"因身处混沌伦理环境招致其伦理身份困惑,从而引发伦理意识蒙昧直至导致畸形伦理选择,同时解析作品的反成长书写策略强化了作品创作旨向,以此剥离出作品的伦理旨向,有助于读者充分领略作品的文学教诲功能。     

Negative interest rate policy and the yield curve

We evaluate the implications of the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on the yield curve. To capture various shapes of the short end of the yield curve induced by the NIRP, we introduce two policy indicators, which summarize the immediate and longer horizon future monetary policy stances. We find that the four NIRP events lowered the short-term interest rate by the same amount. The impact is dampened at longer maturities for the first two event dates, due to lack of forward guidance. By contrast, for the last two dates, forward guidance drives the largest effects in two years.     

绿色环保军用食品的研究与进展

军用野战食品是保证战士饮食的重要食物,对提高战士的身体素质、提升军队的战斗力具有至关重要的作用。各国军队首脑对此都十分重视,将此项内容作为军队建设的重要内容。基于此,本文综述了相关学者对军用食品的研究,以期为相关学者提供借鉴。