基于判别分析的R＆D项目中止决策

R＆D项目中止决策是R＆D管理过程中一项非常重要的工作，有效、及时的中止决策对于优化科技资源配置、提高创新效率有着非常重要的意义。本文在对已有的R＆D项目中止决策方法简要回顾基础上，根据R＆D项目中止决策实质，给出了一种基于已有数据判别分析的R＆D项目中止决策方法和步骤，并进行了示例计算。结果表明，该方法较为简便有效，易于操作。     

冲动性购买行为的实证分析及其营销策略

消费者的冲动性购买行为是多种因素共同作用的结果。其中，外在刺激起主要影响作用，个人内在因素也有不可忽略的影响。这一研究结果对企业的意义在于：消费者的冲动性购买行为是可诱导、可激发的；企业可以针对冲动性购买行为的影响因素采取相应的营销措施和手段，有效地引导或诱导消费者冲动性购买欲望，从而推动和促进冲动性购买行为的最终实现。     

增强高校人文社会科学研究竞争力初探

本文分析和研究了高校人文社会科学研究竞争力评价指标体系,并以部分财经类高校为研究案例,提出了增强高校人文社会科学研究竞争力,实施“三优”战略的决策建议。     

民主决策：新世纪条件下的战略选择

民主决策是新世纪条件下领导方式的一个战略选择。要实现决策民主，不仅领导者必须具有较高的民主素养，而且要完善和发展民主集中制，加强法律控制，改革决策机制，健全群众监督制度。在实行民主决策过程中，还应处理好集体决策与个人拍板、民主与集中先后顺序、连续性与创造性、抓大与放小的关系。     

新型无机高分子混凝剂聚硅硫酸铝的混凝性能

作者对新型无机高分子混凝剂聚硅硫酸铝(PASS)制备的工艺条件进行了研究，制备出性能稳定，效果良好的产品。用该产品对不同水质进行混凝试验，结果表明PASS有良好的混凝效果和广泛的适用范围。     

Managerial judgment and forecast combination: An experimental study

This paper examines the role of managerial judgment in forming a final forecast, or judging the achievability of a critical level of sales, when multiple forecasts or opinions are available to the decision maker. Several factors that can help improve the quality of human intervention are identified and incorporated in a decision aid. Experimental results show that aided combination can help the decision maker exploit her relevant private information and mitigate the generally observed negative effects of human intervention. Further, the results suggest that emphasizing expected sales, even when the organization is primarily interested in go/no-go decisions, helps improve performance. Several suggestions for future research are presented.

相似文献   

Exploring the boundaries of the framing effect: The moderating roles of disparate expected values and perceived costs of judgmental errors

Framing effects on retail store choice decisions were investigated in four experiments. Subjects preferred the store that guaranteed (a sure option) good prices (experiment 1), product availability (experiment 2), or a rebate (experiment 3) when consequences were framed in terms of gains; subjects preferred the risky option when consequences were framed in terms of losses. Consistent with fuzzy-trace theory, framing effects were reduced when the expected values of options were disparate in a direction that disfavored sure gain or probabilistic loss options (experiment 2) and when the perceived costs of committing a judgmental error were high (experiment 3). Experiment 4 shows that the moderating effects of disparate expected values and costs of judgment errors generalize to within-subject designs.     

Experimental Economics and the Theory of Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

Following a brief review of the main experimental work into the economics of risk and uncertainty, both static and dynamic, this paper reports the results of an experiment testing one of the key assumptions of the theory of dynamic economic behaviour—that people have a plan and implement it. Using a unique design which enables the plan (if one exists) to be revealed by the first move, the experiment was implemented via the Internet on a subset of the University of Tilburg's ongoing family expenditure survey panel. The advantages of using such a set of subjects for the experiment are twofold: the demographic characteristics of the set are known and therefore demographic inferences can be made; the representativeness of the set is known and therefore inferences about populations can be made. The results suggest that at least 36% of the subjects had behaviour inconsistent with the hypothesis under test: that people formulate plans and then implement them. Interestingly demographic variables are unable to explain the consistency or inconsistency of individuals. One conclusion is that subjects simply make errors. An alternative conclusion, consistent with previous experimental research, is that people are unable to predict their own future decisions. The implications for dynamic theory (particularly relating to savings and pensions decisions) are important.     

盈利要求与投资决策

本讨论了公司盈利要求对经理投资决策行为的影响，并进一步将该结果与社会最优结果进行了比较分析。本研究结果表明，较高的盈利要求将导致经理选择高风险的投资项目，即使该投资项目的预期收益未必高于低风险投资项目。从社会福利最优角度来看，盈利要求对社会福利的影响取决于公司所面临的投资环境和投资项目性质。     

关于不确定情况下净现值投资评价指标的探讨

文章对在不确定性情况下净现值（NPV）投资评价指标的有效性进行了探讨，提出在运用该指标评价项目时必须要考虑到风险的大小对项目决策的影响，并根据投资项目的统计特征。阐述了在此情况下该指标的计算。最后以实例进一步说明该计算方法的有效性。从而使项目的投资决策更为科学合理。