外部盈利压力会导致企业投资不足吗?——基于中国制造业上市公司的数据分析

本文以2007-2012年中国制造业上市公司为研究样本,考察了外部盈利压力影响企业投资不足的作用机制,并从监督和激励双重视角进一步探索分析师关注度和经理自由裁量权在两者关系间的调节作用。研究结果表明:第一,比较于经理人的经营期望,资本市场对企业经营期望越高,经理人所感知的外部盈利压力越大,越倾向于投资不足;第二,分析师关注度和经理自由裁量权对解决由外部盈利压力而产生的企业投资不足问题具有一定的监督和激励作用,比较于分析师关注度和经理自由裁量权低的公司,在分析师关注度和经理自由裁量权高的公司中,外部盈利压力对企业投资不足的影响均有所减弱,结果表明分析师关注度有利于降低投资者与公司之间的信息不对称,增强了对经理人投资行为决策的监督;同时,赋予经理人一定自由裁量权能有效地激励经理人在外部盈利压力下按照自身意愿制定和实施投资决策。     

会计稳健性与上市公司投资行为——基于资产减值角度的实证分析

本文从资产减值角度考察会计稳健性对公司投资行为的影响。稳健性要求公司推迟确认不完全确定的收入,但是尽快确认可能发生的损失。在本文中,我们发现,由于及时确认损失有助于促使公司及早停止低效率的投资,因此资产减值准备计提会对公司的过度投资产生制约作用。由于及时确认损失也会促使厌恶风险的经理人放弃对风险较大但却可能盈利的项目进行投资,因此资产减值准备计提也会导致公司投资不足。我们的研究为公司过度投资问题的解决提供了一个新视角,同时也说明会计稳健性具有一定的两面性,该原则的运用应当权衡其利弊。     

金融消费最受基金追捧

今日投资对全国70多名基金经理和投资经理的问卷调查显示,近半数的机构投资者对A股公司后期盈利继续看好,对A股市场的进一步表现     

盈利能力财务指标投资有用性研究

文章将财务报告分析中的盈利指标在证券投资中的相关性称作盈利能力财务指标投资有用性。首先分析盈利能力财务指标投资有用性的理论基础，进而对盈利能力指标与公司股价进行灰色关联分析。研究结果表明盈利指标对投资存在相关性，即有用性。     

海外量化专家担纲工银量化策略股票基金20日发行

今年以来，投资热点轮换，量化基金凭借着数量化模型实现了对个股大面积的覆盖，投资业绩出色。近日从工银瑞信了解到，该公司将于3月20日开始发行旗下第一只量化基金--该基金拟由现任工银全球精迁的基金经理游凛峰担任。     

投资者情绪、经理激励契约与企业投资

本文基于中国上市公司经理激励契约安排的制度背景,把经理激励契约纳入投资者非理性分析框架,就投资者情绪与经理激励契约如何相互作用影响企业投资进行了理论分析,并进行了实证检验。结果发现,高管持股会诱发高管利用投机的股市进行过度投资,而与股价弱相关的货币薪酬没有这种作用,而且经理薪酬的这种作用因企业实际控制人性质不同而有所差异。本研究表明高管持股在企业投资决策中具有负面的公司治理效应。     

淘金红利基金——访浦银安盛红利精选股票基金拟任基金经理方毅

近期股指宽幅震荡,后市依然不明.10月28日,浦银安盛红利精选股票基金正式发行,它将投资盈利能力强的高分红公司作为核心投资目标,受到投资者的关注.对新产品的情况以及在未来的市场中采取怎样的投资策略等问题,记者采访了浦银安盛红利精选拟任基金经理方毅.     

管理层风险提示信息、诚信度与投资者决策——一项实验证据

本文采用实验研究方法,检验了管理层讨论与分析中风险提示信息和管理层的诚信度对投资者估计公司未来盈利潜力和投资可能性的影响。研究发现,管理层讨论与分析中的风险提示信息显著的影响了投资者对上市公司未来盈利潜力的估计和投资者投资可能性的判断;同时还发现,风险提示信息对投资者估计公司未来盈利潜力和投资可能性的影响依赖于公司管理层诚信度的高低,即管理层诚信度调节了公司管理层讨论与分析中风险提示信息对投资者估计上市公司未来盈利潜力和投资可能性的影响。     

高抛低吸

盈利预测首现调低减持意愿持续增强今日投资独家发布2010年3月份基金经理调查基金经理对未来12个月上市公司盈利增长率的平     

长电科技 SIP产品放量 业绩创新高

SIP产品是公司盈利的重要来源。随着公司目前有多个项目按计划进行,公司业绩将迎来突破性增长。今日投资个股安全诊断:★★★★     

Real options,agency conflicts,and optimal capital structure

We examine the impact of a stockholder–bondholder conflict over the timing of the exercise of an investment option on firm value and corporate financial policy. We find that an equity-maximizing firm exercises the option too early relative to a value-maximizing strategy, and we show how this problem can be characterized as one of overinvestment in risky investment projects. Equityholders’ incentive to overinvest significantly decreases firm value and optimal leverage, and significantly increases the credit spread of risky debt. Numerical solutions illustrate how the agency cost of overinvestment and its effect on corporate financial policy vary with firm and project characteristics.     

深市主板公司经营业绩情况分析

分析发现，2006年度深市主板公司盈利能力改善的同时，主营利润对整体利润的贡献程度下滑，投资收益等非主业因素影响趋增；资产管理能力有所增强，成本费用控制得力，但资产变现能力稳中有降，整体盈利质量和现金流动状况有所弱化，国家宏观形势持续向好和证券市场解决股改及资金占用两大痼疾是影响公司业绩提升的主要外因，其他刺激因素包括：资产整合、股改业绩承诺、股权激励和交叉持股及参股金融机构。交叉持股及参股金融行为对整体业绩水平有放大效应；新会计准则的影响低于市场估计。     

投资者亲社会偏好与风险投资

本文使用2012年和2014年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,实证分析了户主的亲社会偏好对其家庭风险投资行为的影响。研究发现,户主的亲社会偏好对其家庭风险投资存在显著的正向影响,即亲社会偏好会促使家庭进行风险投资。在考虑了可能存在的内生性问题之后,这一结果仍然稳健。进一步地,分组回归后发现,在非农户口群体、使用互联网群体和偏好风险群体中,户主的亲社会偏好对其家庭风险投资的影响更加显著。本文的政策含义在于,在制定涉及家庭金融投资的相关政策时应充分考虑亲社会偏好对政策效果的影响。     

Historical social capital and contemporary private investment choices

This paper investigates the impact of historical commercial social capital on contemporary private investment choices. We use unique data on shanghui, which represented the most important institutionalization of commercial social capital in China's financial industry in the late Qing Dynasty, to find that the establishment of shanghui is associated with a significant increase in residents' private risky asset investment today. The impact originates mainly from (i) an increase in local available investment finance, (ii) individuals' higher financial knowledge and literacy, and (iii) individuals' higher trust level and risk-taking abilities in the financial market. From a historical perspective, this study partially explains the current private investment choices and household financial investment imbalance in China.     

Digital courts and corporate investment in sustainability: Evidence from China

The construction of digital courts is a crucial measure to improve the judicial environment through the deep integration of judicial reform and digital technology. This study examines the impact of the judicial environment on corporate investment in sustainable development programs by exploiting a quasi-natural experiment in China that mandates certain provinces to promote the application of mobile mini courts. Our results show that shocked companies tend to devote more resources to supporting sustainable development. The result is robust to a battery of sensitivity tests. Further analysis suggests that judicial environment enhancement promotes corporate investment in sustainability through increasing firms' litigation risk, improving the protection of property rights, and reducing economic policy uncertainty. Moreover, the heterogeneity results indicate that the positive impact of the judicial environment on corporate investment in sustainability is more pronounced in firms with lower quality of judicial services, a larger size, lower risk preferences, or more significant analysts' forecast errors. In additional tests, we find that the facilitating effect of digital courts is more significant in provinces with less developed economies or higher internet penetration rates. We also find that constructing digital courts can also increase companies' disclosure of information about sustainable projects. Overall, our empirical results contribute to a deeper understanding of the influence of the judicial environment on corporate practices and mainly initiate a thought-provoking insight into how to encourage corporate sustainable behavior.     

The influence of corporate social responsibility on investment efficiency and innovation

We examine two important channels through which corporate social responsibility (CSR) affects firm value: investment efficiency and innovation. We find that firms with higher CSR performance invest more efficiently: these firms are less prone to invest in negative net present value (NPV) projects (overinvestment) and less prone to forego positive NPV projects (underinvestment). We also find that firms with higher CSR performance generate more patents and patent citations. Mediation analysis indicates that firms with higher CSR performance are more profitable and valuable, consequences partially attributable to efficient investments and innovation. These results, robust to alternate model specifications, lend support to enlightened stakeholder theory.     

Corporate social responsibility and tax aggressiveness: An empirical analysis

This study examines the association between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and corporate tax aggressiveness. Based on a sample of 408 publicly listed Australian corporations for the 2008/2009 financial year, our regression results show that the higher the level of CSR disclosure of a corporation, the lower is the level of corporate tax aggressiveness. We find a negative and statistically significant association between CSR disclosure and tax aggressiveness which holds across a number of different regression model specifications, thus more socially responsible corporations are likely to be less tax aggressive in nature. Finally, the regression results from our additional analysis indicate that the social investment commitment and corporate and CSR strategy (including the ethics and business conduct) of a corporation are important elements of CSR activities that have a negative impact on tax aggressiveness.     

Innovation,endogenous overinvestment,and incentive pay

We analyze how two key managerial tasks interact: that of growing the business through creating new investment opportunities and that of providing accurate information about these opportunities in the corporate budgeting process. We show how this interaction endogenously biases managers toward overinvesting in their own projects. This bias is exacerbated if managers compete for limited resources in an internal capital market, which provides us with a novel theory of the boundaries of the firm. Finally, managers of more risky and less profitable divisions should obtain steeper incentives to facilitate efficient investment decisions.     

The q-factors and expected bond returns

This study provides new insight into the recent debate on profitability and investment patterns in the cross-section of expected returns. Relying on implied risk premia of U.S. corporate bonds, we document a strong negative relation between exposure to the profitability factor and cost of debt. We do not observe a robust relation between exposure to the investment factor and cost of debt. Our findings are consistent with profitability being a risk factor, but suggest that high profitability implies lower (and not higher) risk. Because the market portfolio consists of all risky assets including corporate bonds, our findings challenge a risk-based explanation for the profitability and investment patterns in stock returns.     

The Sarbanes-Oxley act and corporate investment: A structural assessment

We assess the impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 on corporate investment in an investment Euler equation framework. We allow a dummy for the passage of the Act to affect the rate at which managers discount future investment payoffs. Using generalized method of moments estimators, we find that the rate U.S. firm managers apply to discount investment projects rises significantly after 2002, while the discount rate for U.K. firms remains unchanged. The effects of the legislation on corporate investment are asymmetric, and are much more significant among relatively small firms. We also find that well-governed firms, firms with a credit rating, and accelerated filers of Section 404 of the Act have become more cautious about investment.