Polarities between Naturalism and Non-Naturalism in Contemporary Economics: An Overview

We provide a dynamic model of banking competition, in which bounded rationality of some competitors explains how the credit cycle is intensified. We model the economic cycle following Tobias F. Rötheli (2012b), who argues that boundedly rational banks, in their Bayesian learning, overestimate the probability of success during booms and underestimate it during recessions. We obtain three main results. First, the model suggests that pessimism/underconfidence is not a powerful driver of credit cycles. Instead, it supports the conclusion that it is euphoria during large upswings that leads to the next crunch. Second, the dynamization of the model provides further insight into the way boundedly rational competition intensifies the credit cycle. Third, it additionally predicts that the effects of behavioral biases are more pervasive when the quality of the niche markets is lower.     

金融学中的技术分析理论基础研究综述

虽然技术分析在金融实业界得到了广泛的关注和应用,但是金融学术界却较少关注它,原因在于技术分析认为价格可以预测,而这与有效市场假说是背道而驰的。然而,金融学者通过对新古典金融理论的修正,建立了基于信息不对称的噪音理性预期模型和基于行为金融学的正反馈模型,为技术分析提供了理论支持。此外,其他理论模型从市场摩擦、羊群效应、市场影响力等角度出发,也证明了技术分析的有效性。     

农村金融生态研究:一个新制度经济学的分析框架

农村金融生态问题是金融支农和新农村建设中的焦点话题.如何从理论上解释农村金融生态主体与金融生态环境之间的互动机理是金融生态研究中的盲点.本文试图从新制度经济学视角构建一个理论分析框架,来诠释农村金融生态运行中存在的问题,旨在为改善农村金融生态环境提供理论参考.     

Theoretical activity in sustainable tourism research

There is growing recognition in tourism and sustainable tourism research of the need for a fuller engagement in theoretical activity. The paper examines how different research strategies in recent articles on sustainable tourism have advanced theoretical understanding in this research field. The articles advance thinking through ideas and concepts connected with political ecology, mobilities, transition pathways, and behavioural and systems change. They are evaluated using a typology of research strategies associated with theoretical work, using a broad perspective on this work. The research strategy typology was developed for the paper, and it is explained and illustrated. While the papers on sustainable tourism use a range of strategies associated with theoretical activity, there is only limited engagement with “big” social theories.     

绿色财富观:生态文明时代人类的理性选择

如果说农业文明社会是以土地资产为主流的财富观,那么工业文明社会则是以有形和无形资产为主流的财富观,而生态文明时代理应是以绿色财富为主流的财富观。本文以生态文明时代为背景,以科学发展观为指导,对绿色财富内涵特征、分类以及构建策略进行了探讨.     

生态学原理在城市规划中运用的思考

文章讨论了生态一词的涵义及其变化,归纳生态系统与城市的异同点,讨论了生态学原理与城市规划的结合,包括生态学原理及其在城市规划中的应用,当前存在的问题,今后的改进方向等,最后对长株潭规划生态环境专题研究案例进行了介绍。     

旅行社网站服务公平性对顾客行为意向的影响研究

企业坚持公平性原则,才能建立和维系与顾客的长期关系.笔者以旅行社网站的顾客为研究对象进行了一次实证研究,探讨了旅行社网站服务公平性对顾客行为意向的影响.数据分析结果表明:旅行社网站服务公平性直接影响顾客信任感和满意感,间接影响顾客的行为意向.     

Corporate hierarchy and vertical information flow inside the firm—a behavioral view

Little is known about how corporate hierarchies influence managers' propensity to pass information upward within the firm. Two streams of literature arrive at seemingly conflicting and untested predictions. Information economists maintain that middle managers pass more suggestions up the firm's line of command as the corporate hierarchy increases in order to avoid corporate omission errors. In contrast, scholars of organizational psychology suggest that hierarchies lead to evaluation apprehension and foster a perceived lack of control among mid‐level managers, leading to their reduced willingness to, and interest in, passing information up within the organization. Drawing on field data and model‐guided experimental studies, we provide original empirical evidence for the relevance of all the mechanisms above, and we delineate the conditions under which either mechanism prevails. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

论投资者决策行为模式中的倾向效应

行为金融研究发现 ,投资者的决策行为并非完全理性 ,“倾向效应”普遍存在于个人投资者和投资专业人士中。了解“倾向效应”及其心理动因具有积极的现实意义     

Assessing the Effects of Service Quality,Past Experience,and Destination Image on Behavioral Intentions in the Spring Training Camp of a Japanese Professional Baseball Team

This study aimed to examine the theoretical relationships between service quality, past experience, destination image, and behavioral intentions in the spring training camp of a professional baseball team in Japan. The results indicate that the service quality of spring training camps was divided into five factors: (1) place, (2) enjoyment, (3) information, (4) fan interaction, and (5) operating time. The findings suggest that service quality and past experience had positive effects on both destination image and behavioral intentions. Behavioral intentions were also highly influenced by destination image. Future research and managerial implications are also discussed.