中国省际环境污染的动态综合评价及影响因素

基于单一污染物难以表达环境污染状况的不足,本文提出了能够代表整体环境状况的污染排放指数,并首次运用一种基于整体差异的动态客观综合评价方法对中国28个省1995～2006年的环境污染状况进行了测度,分析了中国和分区域污染排放指数的变动趋势,并基于经济结构和能源因素视角,采用面板数据模型检验了中国和分区域污染排放指数的影响因素。分析表明,要实现十一五规划中主要污染物在2010年比2006年减少10%的约束性目标,从三大区域来看,应该重点监控东部地区;从省级区域看,应该重点加大对河北、江苏、辽宁、山东、四川、河南、山西、广东、浙江、湖北、湖南等省份污染排放的治理力度,提高能源利用效率、制定符合市场机制的能源价格体系、加大贸易开放度和降低煤炭消费在能源消费中的比例可以减少污染排放。     

中国商业银行全要素生产率分析——基于三阶段Malmquist指数模型

本文运用三阶段Malmquist指数对我国商业银行2004—2008年的全要素生产率变化情况进行研究。研究结果表明,环境变量对我国商业银行的投入变量有显著的影响,传统的Malmquist方法高估了我国商业银行全要素生产率变化指数、技术进步变化指数以及技术效率变化指数;我国银行业在2004—2008年间出现了全要素生产率的改进,这主要源于技术进步的作用;金融危机的爆发使得我国银行业整体生产率大幅度下降,但对国有商业银行的影响要小于对股份制商业银行的影响。     

Exact decomposition of the Fisher ideal total factor productivity index

Decompositions of total factor productivity (TFP) shed light on the driving factors behind productivity change. We develop the first exact decomposition of the Fisher ideal TFP index which contains no debatable mixed-period components or residuals. We systematically isolate five effects of (1) technical change, (2) technical efficiency, (3) scale efficiency, (4) allocative efficiency, and (5) price effect. The three efficiency components (2–4) represent the efficiency of achieving a given target point. Components (1) and (5) capture the changes of the target point. While the technical change component is well-established, changes in the relative input–output prices can have real effects on the scale and scope of the target. Such changes are captured by the new price effect component (5). The new decomposition is compared with existing decompositions both in theory and by means of an empirical application to a panel data of 459 Finnish farms in years 1992–2000.

绿色施工评价及其相关问题研究

首先分析绿色施工评价的研究背景,指出目前绿色施工已经在我国建设领域掀起热潮,但绿色施工的推行存在问题,并且缺乏对于绿色施工的具体界定。其次,界定了绿色施工评价的概念,并提出了绿色施工评价指标体系建立的原则,阐述了指标体系建立的思路,介绍了所建立的以"四节一环保"和经济性为主要内容的评价指标体系,提出了用层次分析法确定各指标的权重,运用模糊综合评价法进行综合评价的评价方法。再次,指出绿色施工评价目前存在的问题,并针对关键问题提出了解决方法。最后,对绿色施工评价的前景进行展望,提出了其下一步的发展方向。     

基于质量功能展开的顾客满意度研究

质量功能展开是基于顾客要求的结构化产品开发方法。把质量功能展开（Quality Function Deployment,QFD）方法引入顾客满意度研究中,建立了顾客满意度测评的质量屋模型。通过多阶段的QFD模型将总体顾客满意度逐步展开为易于顾客判断的指标,进而实施了顾客满意度指数的测评;并通过某家电企业的顾客满意度测评实例,说明了这种方法实施过程。     

G_1法在管理咨询业顾客满意度评价中的应用研究

从管理咨询业与顾客满意度的接触点入手,依据咨询服务质量指标构建的原则建立了一套顾客满意度评价指标体系。考虑到综合评价过程中权重设置问题,引入了无需一致性检验的G1法,并用G1法对指标体系权重计算做了算例,以验证方法的有效性。     

FDI对高新技术产品出口比较优势的影响分析

改革开放30年来,中国吸收外资取得了举世瞩目的成就,外商直接投资(FDI)对我国的贸易,特别是对高新技术产品出口的贡献作用非常大。文章采用线性回归模型进行实证分析,得出FDI作为解释我国高新技术产品出口竞争力提升的解释变量是显著的,特别是滞后一期的FDI对我国高新技术产品出口竞争力的影响更明显,并根据该结论为发展我国高新技术产品出口提出建议。     

Productivity growth in natural resource industries and the environment: an application to the Korean tuna purse-seine fleet in the Pacific Ocean

Measures of multifactor productivity growth in natural resource industries are misleading without accounting for the effects on the environment. This paper introduces environmental effects into an output-oriented Malmquist index of multifactor productivity growth in order to evaluate growth in productivity and technical efficiency for Korean purse seine vessels fishing for tuna in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean.     

Trading with Tigers: A Technical Analysis of Southeast Asian Stock Index Futures

ABSTRACT

Our paper examines the profitability of technical trading rules in Southeast Asian (SEA) ‘tiger cub’ stock index futures markets during and after the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007/2008. Using daily closing price data from 2007 to 2012, we explore technical trading rules such as exponential moving averages (EMA (20), EMA (100), EMA (20,100)) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. The findings reveal that after applying trading rules that account for transaction costs and risk, abnormal profits cannot be achieved above a naı¨ve ‘buy-and-hold’ strategy (with the exception of EMA (100) and EMA (20,100) in Indonesia, and EMA (20,100) in both the Philippines and Thailand). There appears to be some degree of success with the application of longer-term trading rules; however, unless transaction costs can be reduced, investors are best advised to pursue passive investment approaches. Despite the economic uncertainty associated with the GFC and ongoing market volatility, it appears that SEA tiger cub stock index futures markets are weak-form efficient.     

基于村级尺度的农村水贫困评价——以常德澧县梅家港村为例

以WPI为基本框架,结合南方农村社区水资源系统的特点,从水资源状况、供水设施、利用能力、使用效率和环境状况五方面选择24个指标,建立一套南方农村社区水贫困评价指标体系.采用分级打分法量化数据,构建综合指数评价模型,并对湖南澧县梅家港村水贫困水平进行评价.结果表明:梅家港村的WPI指数值为46.567,呈现一定程度的水贫困现象.其水贫困主要表现在水资源使用效率低下、环境状况堪忧以及供水等水利基础设施相对落后等方面.该项研究说明,我国南方自然水资源条件优越的农村地区同样有可能存在不同程度的水贫困问题.