Export Sophistication: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

In this article, we analyze export sophistication based on a large panel dataset (2001–2015; 101 countries) and using various estimation algorithms. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we evaluate the bias properties of estimators and show that GMM-type estimators outperform instrumental-variable and fixed-effects estimators. Based on our analysis we document that GDP per capita and the size of the economy exhibit significant and positive effects on export sophistication; weak institutional quality exhibits negative effect. We also show that export sophistication is path-dependent and stable even during a major economic crisis, which is especially important for emerging and developing economies.     

内涵服务与中国制造业分工地位提升：出口增加值视角*

作为重要的中间品，服务投入已经成为影响制造业分工地位的重要因素。基于出口增加值视角，本文利用WIOD数据库测算并考察了内涵服务对中国制造业分工地位的影响。结果表明：（1）尽管中国制造业出口增加值中内涵服务总额处于增长态势，但占比在金融危机以后出现了下降，且大大低于德国、日本等制造业强国，要素投入服务化趋势还没有充分显现；（2）内涵服务占比上升在总体上有利于中国制造业分工地位提高，且主要是通过内涵本国服务发挥作用；（3）进一步细分研究发现，中间产品内涵服务和来源于OECD国家的内涵服务对中国制造业分工地位提升作用更为显著。内涵服务占比较低是“中国制造”长期处于全球价值链中低端的重要原因。未来需要加快国内服务业改革开放和高端服务“引进来”，为制造业向中高端攀升提供强有力的支持。     

Does rice farming shape audit quality: Evidence from signing auditors level analysis

This study examines whether signing auditors from rice planting regions affect audit quality. Using a sample of 12,223 firm-year observations from the Chinese stock market over the period of 2004–2015, our findings reveal that signing auditors from rice regions are significantly negatively associated with the likelihood of unclean audit opinions, suggesting that signing auditors with rice culture are more likely to succumb to the managers and hamper independence, and thus are more inclined to issue favorable audit opinions, and eventually impair audit quality. Furthermore, audit firm size and industry expertise attenuate the negative relation between signing auditors with rice culture and audit quality. In addition, above findings are robust to a variety of sensitivity tests using different measures of audit quality and signing auditors from rice cultivating areas and our conclusions still stand after using the Heckman two-step approach, placebo test and differences-in-differences method to address the potential endogeneity problem.     

浅议CPA审计行业专门化问题

随着我国市场经济体制改革的不断完善,CPA审计行业所面临的社会环境也因此而产生了重大的变化。伴随着社会对审计人员的严格要求,审计人员的素质也在不断提高。当然,这对CPA这个行业无疑也产生了深深的影响,同时也对行业的专门化也起到了潜移默化的推动作用。因此在本文中,将会立足于注册会计师审计实务,通过具体分析行业专门化的竞争优势和目前的发展趋势,讨论审计行业专门化可能带来的经济后果,并且与多个上市公司的案例相结合,运用案例分析法、经验总结法、描述分析法等方法合理透彻地剖析出目前CPA审计行业所存在的问题,以及对已经存在的问题作出具体解决方案。     

审计师行业专长对审计重要性水平的影响——基于股权性质的调节作用研究

审计师行业专长意味着在特定领域较强的专业胜任能力,对于防范审计风险和提高审计质量都有显著影响。围绕审计师行业专长影响审计重要性水平这一主题，结合股权性质的调节作用，选取2016—2018年沪深两市A股上市公司作为研究对象，进行实证检验。结果表明，审计师行业专长对重要性水平有正向影响，如果被审计单位是国有控股上市公司，审计师行业专长与重要性水平的正相关关系更显著。这对审计机构人力资源配置、监管部门完善相关制度及监督工作具有参考价值。     

中日制造业双边贸易核算——基于贸易附加值的分解

随着国际生产链条的不断延伸以及中间产品生产的多次跨国境变动,越来越多的国家参与到中日双边制造业贸易收益分配中。基于世界投入产出数据库1995—2009年的相关数据,采用将双边出口贸易分解成16部分的核算方法,基于贸易附加值的分解核算中日两国制造业双边贸易。结果显示两国制造业出口的国内附加值绝对额均不断上升,两国的垂直专业化率均不断提高。两国应以推动中日韩建立区域全面经济伙伴关系为契机,积极融入全球价值链分工体系。     

基于价值增值的比较优势研究

本文基于Hummels et al．（2001）的分析框架，利用OECD提供的投入产出数据库，计算并比较中国与其他29个主要经济体产品增值率指数及增值比较优势指数。实证结果显示，我国的比较优势产业主要集中在制造业，然而这些比较优势产业的增值率不仅低于服务业和农矿制造业，并大大低于同一产业的世界平均水平。     

Vertical Specialization and Trade Growth in Northeast Asia

As the global economy has become further integrated, the international production chain has become more sophisticated, with diversified stages of production located in different countries. Economic theorists have argued that the fragmentation of the global production chain is partly attributable to the high growth in international trade over the past several decades. In this study, we examine vertical specialization in China, Japan and Korea, and its contribution to these nations' trade. Using a multilevel model, it is illustrated that vertical specialization has encouraged increases in trade among all three countries. In particular, China's outcome is remarkable considering how recently it became a member of the WTO.     

相对交易效率、垂直分离与企业规模变化之谜

本文通过发展一个包含中间产品迂回生产的模型解释了生产非一体化程度的决定因素,并且对19世纪后期以来企业规模变化及近30年来垂直分离发展原因给出了解释.论文指出当今世界经济增长已经不是主要依赖企业内部的规模经济,而是更多依赖于组织间资源和知识.因此创造一个便利于组织间资源流动的市场体系,尤其是高级要素交易的体系对于经济增长变得日益关键.     

“两缺口”模型中国悖论的成因

利用外国直接投资(FDI)来促进经济增长是我国的一个重要发展战略,但"两缺口"模型已经不能对此进行解释。由于生产要素的国际流动和国际贸易统计体系的颠覆,改变了"两缺口"模型成立的初始条件,而中国特殊的文化传统、转轨时期不完善的经济和社会制度以及对引资作用片面和静态的认识促成了"两缺口"模型在中国的悖论。