以市场检验推动公共服务型政府建设

20世纪80年代以来,在"新公共管理"运动的推动下,以英国、新西兰、澳大利亚为代表的一些国家普遍实行了"公共服务市场化"改革。这一改革浪潮席卷世界,并逐步发展成为大多数国家转变政府职能的一种主流模式。实践证明,与传统的政府"自给自足"和"垄断供应"模式相比,以市场检验为标志的公共服务改革大大降低了公共服务供给成本,提高了公共服务效率,改善了公共部门运行绩效,并为充分运用市场力量推动政府改革提供了新的机遇和动力。     

促进科技进步的税收政策研究

税收政策对科技进步具有重要影响。我国现行科技税收政策尚有不完善之处,需要根据国家产业政策、科技发展规划和税制改革方向进行适当调整。调整的思路是:扩大增值税抵扣范围;允许工业企业提取研究与开发基金;实行加速折旧或摊销办法;突破区域和内外资企业的限定,对高科技企业实行同一税收政策;对个人科技所得实施税收优惠;等等。     

中国商品期货指数与GDP指数的关系研究

本文在借鉴国内外商品期货指数编制方法的基础上,编制了我国商品期货指数.基于1998-2005 年的时间序列数据,对我国商品期货指数与GDP指数之间的超前滞后关系进行了实证研究,研究结果表明在样本区间内存在商品期货指数到GDP指数的因果关系,其先行时间达2个月.我国商品期货指数与GDP指数两者之间存在长期均衡关系,但是期货市场的价格发现功能依然存在某些缺陷.因此,应当进一步完善我国的期货市场,使商品期货指数成为监测我国经济景气的指示器.     

关于考查课教育及成绩评定的思考与探索

剖析了考查课教育及成绩评定现状中的弊端,从纳什均衡的角度分析了要达到最优状态必需进行考查课教育与成绩评定改革。关于考查课教育及成绩评定,文章做了详细地思考和探讨,指出通过研发基于层次分析法的考查课程成绩管理系统来完成成绩的评定,给出的评定准则科学客观公正。该网站的建立实现了考查课程成绩评定的自动化、督促了教师对考查课教育的改革、最大限度的维护了学校开设考查课程的初衷。     

浅谈试题库系统建设之基本思路——以桂林旅专试题库建设为例

试题库系统是一种重要的现代教育技术。在探讨高校试题库系统建设的目的、思路的基础上介绍了桂林旅专试题库系统建设的基本思路。     

防盗安全门的结构安全与检测

扼要介绍了防盗安全门防破坏性能方面结构设计上的几个关键技术问题，并针对这几个方面的不同情况，阐述检测中实施破坏的可能性和实现破坏的时间。     

Analysis on Balance Gap between Saving and Credit Account in China

In China, the balance gap of credit and saving account emerged in 1995, and its amount enlarged since then. By the end of Dec. 2005, with 28.7 trillion RMB saving balance and 19.5 trillion RMB gross credit account balance, the gap between saving and credit account was as large as 9.2 trillion RMB, which indicated a 67.8% of credit/saving ratio. Some believed this phenomenon was resulted from on one hand, the rapid growth of saving account; and on the other hand, relatively slower expanding of credit account. Some believed cooling down cash demand was behind the gap, while others claimed the balance gap caused dead capital and inefficiency service of saving account. In fact, the balance gap between credit and saving account might not necessarily relate to dead bank capital. And the phenomenon itself could not indicate the down-tendency of finance power that underlay economy. Nevertheless, it was liquidity not the balance gap should be regarded an index of capital situation in financial organizations. Therefore the balance gap between saving account and credit account could not be viewed as criteria against liquidity position. Solution of this problem should lay in boosting financial innovation among commercial banks, expending capital market and encouraging or permitting commercial banks as well as state-owed funds to enter share market and so on.     

混凝土灌注桩声波透射法检测技术及其应用

声波透射法检测全面、细致,现场操作简便,用于大直径混凝土灌注桩检测,能够准确的判别桩的各类缺陷。本文介绍了声波透射法的基本原理、检测前的准备工作以及检测过程中的注意事项。通过工程实例提出了桩身存在缺陷时声学参数的特征。     

VaR准确性检验的贝叶斯方法

文章对VaR准确性检验的失败检验法进行了分析,提出了一种新的失败检验法,即贝叶斯检验法。并与传统的正态近似法和Kupiec检验法进行了比较,说明了贝叶斯检验法的合理之处。     

HYSTERESIS IN UNEMPLOYMENT REVISITED: EVIDENCE FROM PANEL LM UNIT ROOT TESTS WITH HETEROGENEOUS STRUCTURAL BREAKS

This paper applies the panel LM unit root tests with heterogeneous structural breaks in level by Im  et al. ( Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , 67 (2005), pp. 393–419) to re-examine the validity of hysteresis in the unemployment rates of 19 OECD countries. Our empirical findings are favourable to the stationarity of the unemployment rates, i.e., the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis is strongly rejected. Our results suggest that shocks to unemployment rates are temporary and soon converge when we control for breaks. A major policy implication of the study is that a fiscal or monetary stabilization policy would not have permanent effects on the unemployment rates of the 19 OECD countries.