基于多Agent的供应链牛鞭效应建模与仿真

文章基于多Agent技术构建了啤酒游戏供应链的仿真模型,给出了基于多Agent技术和Swarm平台构建供应链仿真模型的方法。基于该模型对供应链牛鞭效应进行了仿真分析,进一步深化了对牛鞭效应的认识。     

上部覆盖层下伏页岩一类潜在滑坡演化变形机制分析

为研究上部覆盖层下伏页岩这一类型的滑坡失稳变形,需要确定其变形的潜在影响因素,从定量角度上分析这一类型滑坡灾害的变形演化问题。以容县六王镇西流河潜在滑坡为研究对象,借助钻孔勘探、室内试验和地质调绘,详细分析了西流河滑坡的工程地质概况,并推测其可能的变形演化机制,然后利用Geostudio数值软件建立西流河滑坡的渗流模型,模拟其在不同降雨工况下的渗流规律。研究发现:西流河滑坡在持续降雨过程中稳定性系数从1.224逐步降低至1.09,稳定性系数不断下降,滑坡体内由垂直入渗逐步转化沿滑动带稳定渗流;当遭遇极端暴雨情况(50年重现期)时,滑坡体内稳定渗流场显著增厚,饱和滑带土增多,滑坡安全储备达到极限。由此可以得出:上部覆盖层下伏页岩一类滑坡变形演化过程主要分滑坡体上部覆盖层堆积阶段,垂直入渗至页岩富水软化阶段和稳定渗流至潜在滑动带软化蠕变这3个阶段;其中上部覆盖层的高渗透性和下伏页岩的隔水特征是导致页岩风化带软化蠕变和稳定渗流场形成的关键因素。研究结果为上部覆盖层下伏页岩这一类滑坡影响因素的研究提供了一些证据,对研究滑坡演化变形机制具有借鉴意义。     

互联网商业生态系统动态演化仿真研究——以阿里巴巴为例

文章尝试将商业生态系统理论与互联网相结合，解释互联网商业生态系统内部结构的静态和动态演化过程，从理论上深度探索了互联网商业生态系统内部生态发展的内在机理和运行机制，并运用计算机仿真方法模拟了互联网商业生态系统的内部演化过程。研究发现：互联网生态结构的演化过程经历了萌芽期、成长期、繁殖期、分化期四个主要阶段，商圈发展经历了平台、商家、消费者三主体到平台、商家、消费者、专业服务商、增值服务商五主体的进化过程，并不断进化和繁殖生成新的专业服务商和增值服务商，随之产生新的互联网商业生态系统。最后，文章以阿里巴巴电子商务生态系统为案例从经验上对其内部生态系统的发展和演化构成进行了分析。     

信道估计偏差对空时编码的OFDM系统性能的影响

本文研究了采用空时编码的OFDM系统的性能，通过Monte Carlo仿真分析了系统性能和信道估计偏差对系统的影响。     

Agent-Based Facilitation of Water Allocation: Case Study in the Drome River Valley

The purpose of the 1992 French Water Act is to encourage negotiation and dialogue among local stakeholders within a framework which is very similar to a patrimonial approach. Potential use of models in such post-normal approaches is analyzed. Two kinds of models are compared: one is agent-based, the other follows a more classical approach. They are compared according to their contributions as negotiation support tools. This comparison is based on a specific collective decision process dealing with water allocation at the sub-basin scale, in which authors are involved. Both are used to support collective decision processes through simulation of resource use dynamics. Agent-Based Models entail the broadening of spatial information of actors in the process, revealing inter-connected topics not taken into consideration earlier. This makes it possible to remain relevant, despite the sometimes rapidly evolving stakes. The central point of this paper is the implementation, within a practical application, of theories advocating the use of ABM as a collective decision support system. This application promotes a better understanding of the kind of support ABM provides and the way it does so. This is brought about more by re-framing the discussion and modifying the representation of the system on the part of the stakeholders than by providing specific agreements.     

On-line/Off-line: Joint Negotiation Teaching in Montreal and Vienna

E-business systems, the most recent generation of information systems, can be effectively used in teaching. One such system was developed and used in a collaborative project that involved teaching of negotiation theory and practice to students from Austria and Canada. The system provides customized course materials and a platform to conduct various e-negotiation activities. The design allows combining e-learning technologies designed to support students in their independent and individual learning with conventional face-to-face training. Our experience indicates that professional negotiation training accompanied by e-learning, and tools to support decision-making and negotiation can foster students' appreciation of the technology as well as demonstrate its limitations. The combination of technology-intensive and conventional resources contributed to students' awareness of social influences on negotiations, importance of communication, and focussed their attention on the problem and its solution. Deeper customization of the course content and delivery may further contribute to effective learning and acquiring of both communication and analytical skills.     

Modeling Methods for Discrete Choice Analysis

This paper introduces new forms, sampling and estimation approaches fordiscrete choice models. The new models include behavioral specifications oflatent class choice models, multinomial probit, hybrid logit, andnon-parametric methods. Recent contributions also include new specializedchoice based sample designs that permit greater efficiency in datacollection. Finally, the paper describes recent developments in the use ofsimulation methods for model estimation. These developments are designed toallow the applications of discrete choice models to a wider variety ofdiscrete choice problems.     

基于Truetime工具箱的网络控制系统的仿真研究

网络控制系统(NCS)是目前网络和通信领域的研究热点,由于网络的引入,网络控制系统的仿真研究存在一定的难度。本文首先给出了NCS的定义,介绍了网络控制系统的研究现状,以及现有的网络控制系统的仿真软件,并重点介绍了Truetime工具箱。应用MATLAB和Truetime工具箱为基础,以一个三回路的网络控制系统为实例建立了Truetime仿真模型,通过仿真数据分析,验证了基于Truetime工具箱的网络控制系统模型的有效性。网络控制系统的推行,能够有效地减少人工错误,为用户节省大量时间。     

高职“虚实互补”实训体系研究——以应用电子技术专业为例

高职的培养目标定位在高素质的技术技能型人才,在培养中要实现实践应用能力和理论分析能力并重。本文介绍了一种将虚拟仿真技术融入到应用电子技术专业实训体系,构建了虚实互补的实训体系,以期实现高职理实并重的培养目的,改善目前只强调实践动手能力而忽略理论分析能力而引起的高职学生后劲发展不足的问题。     

Experiential Learning – A Case Study of the Use of Computerised Stock Market Trading Simulation in Finance Education

Abstract

Finance is a popular programme of study in UK higher education despite it being a challenging subject that requires students to understand and apply complex and abstract mathematical models and academic theories. Educational simulation is an active learning method found to be useful in enhancing students’ learning experience, but there has been limited pedagogic research attention on its use in finance education within the UK. This paper, utilising an on-line survey, provides a snapshot of the current usage of finance-related simulations across the 97 UK universities offering finance programmes. The paper also reports the findings of a case study that offers insights into the effectiveness of introducing computerised simulation into a postgraduate finance course from both a student and tutor perspective. It highlights an enhancing learning experience for students through concrete experience and reflective observation, increasing their understanding of difficult and complex finance concepts.