利率互换与我国商业银行利率风险管理

随着我国金融改革的深化,金融市场的不断开放,市场化利率逐渐形成,利率风险越来越受到金融机构从业者的关注。在我国开展利率互换交易的条件基本成熟的情况下,引入的利率互换为我国商业银行的利率风险管理展开了新的一页。由于仍存在阻碍利率互换交易发展的定价、风险、制度及供需问题,所以需要从加快利率市场化;加快相关制度建设;加快市场培育,增加参与主体;完善信用风险防范等方面来推进商业银行的利率风险管理。     

中国郑州棉花期货市场的国际定价功能研究

本文借助计量经济学的分析方法,对郑州商品交易所、纽约期货交易所期棉价格与国内棉花现货价格这三者的关系进行了研究,并测算了郑州商品交易所与纽约期货交易所在价格发现中的贡献份额。研究结果表明,三者之间存在协整关系,纽约期货市场在国际棉花定价体系中占有主导地位,而导致郑州棉花期货市场国际定价功能弱化的原因则是国内棉花期货市场与现货市场缺乏有机联系。     

基于复合实物期权的公司流动性定价研究

公司流动性是指公司或企业持有的流动性资产,它除了账面价值外,还含有某种潜在价值。对公司流动性价值进行科学的评估,对于投资者、公司管理者等各方都非常重要。采用实物期权理论对公司流动性进行定价。是目前公司金融理论的前沿课题。这方面的研究不但可以打开对公司流动性认知的新视野,还可以促使我们通过了解公司持有的流动性所蕴含的价值,进而对整个公司价值进行真正正确的评估。本文首次揭示了公司流动性的复合实物期权性质,并用复合实物期权二叉树模型进行了公司流动性定价的尝试,为公司财务管理决策提供了一种量化的工具。通过使用复合实物期权模型,我们得到了公司流动性复合期权的价值,这个价值不但大于流动性持有的机会成本和其最初时刻的静态价值,同样也比常用的NPV法算出的项目价值大。多出来的价值就是考虑了流动性复合期权的结果。     

经济全球化背景下国家矿产资源安全研究——基于自由贸易理论及我国当前贸易结构和贸易形势的考量

矿产资源贸易出于需求,而表现为价格差异导致.伴随经济全球化过程,掩盖在自由贸易体制下世界各主要工业国对矿产资源的争夺,是矿产资源在世界范围内配置的实质.获得商品定价权是取得矿产资源贸易有利地位的关键,从而提高本国矿产资源的安全程度.本文基于自由贸易理论,结合我国当前的贸易结构和贸易形势,研究我国矿产资源安全的现状,进而对确保矿产资源安全提出相应的对策建议.     

房地产投资决策中实物期权方法的应用

传统的净现值投资决策方法将不确定性视为一种损失,忽略了项目投资的灵活性和战略性,往往造成项目价值的低估,而实物期权弥补了NPV法的不足。本文将实物期权方法}J入房地产投资决策中,对比分析了传统净现值法的一些不足,介绍了实物期权的基本理论,并采用了B-S期权定价模型对房地产投资决策过程中蕴含的迟延期权进行了案例分析。     

中日股票市场发行制度比较研究

股票发行制度是一国资本市场的准入制度,对股票市场的健康发展起着重要作用。由于历史条件和经济环境的影响,中国和日本的股票市场规模及效率不同,所以其发行制度也存在很大差异。分析表明,这些差异主要体现在发行审核体制、信息披露制度和发行定价这3个方面,中国在完善股票市场发行制度方面应该关注这些方面的深远影响。     

产业集群下在华跨国公司转移定价行为路径选择

本文系统归纳总结了跨国公司转移定价的产生、发展、定价方法,结合我国产业集群背景下跨国公司转移定价管制的现状,阐述了我国的应对政策。     

The Effect of Pricing and Advertising on Customer Retention in a Liberalizing Market

This study investigates the drivers of customer retention in a liberalizing market. The authors address key retention issues that allow them to contribute to existing retention research in several critical ways. They (1) examine the effects of pricing and mass advertising, (2) account for (new entrants) competitors' actions, (3) investigate the dynamic impact of marketing tactics, and (4) study the proposed relationships in a market recently opened to competition. Using longitudinal data for a sample of 650 mobile phone consumers and a split-population hazard model that accounts for the notion that some customers are never at risk of defection, the authors show that both the focal firm's (incumbent) and the competitors' price and mass advertising exert a significant influence on the probability of terminating an existing incumbent relationship. They find that the relationships between marketing variables and retention are not static but vary over time. Price is generally less effective in the early stages of market liberalization, which suggests that customers become more price sensitive in later stages. Finally, the study findings can have important strategic implications on designing customer management and marketing resource allocation strategies, as well as on providing a competitive regulatory framework in liberalizing markets.     

Modeling time series information into option prices: An empirical evaluation of statistical projection and GARCH option pricing model

This paper compares the empirical performances of statistical projection models with those of the Black–Scholes (adapted to account for skew) and the GARCH option pricing models. Empirical analysis on S&P500 index options shows that the out-of-sample pricing and projected trading performances of the semi-parametric and nonparametric projection models are substantially better than more traditional models. Results further indicate that econometric models based on nonlinear projections of observable inputs perform better than models based on OLS projections, consistent with the notion that the true unobservable option pricing model is inherently a nonlinear function of its inputs. The econometric option models presented in this paper should prove useful and complement mainstream mathematical modeling methods in both research and practice.