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商业信用与银行借款的替代关系及其反周期性:1998-2006年   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
商业信用和银行借款是我国企业最重要的两类短期融资来源,它们之间的关系及其随宏观经济周期变化的行为是两个重要的金融与经济问题.文章分别建立了混合样本的联立方程和分期联立模型,利用沪深两市1998-2006年上市公司的5 354个样本点数据展开实证.得到的关键结论有:两类融资之间的总体平均替代率约为17%;相关性检验认为替代系数与同步宏观经济指标GDP之间具有反周期性规律.提出了宏观政策设计和微观企业管理的相关建议.  相似文献
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银行信贷、经济周期与货币政策调控:1984—2011   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
鉴于银行信贷已成为现代经济波动的重要驱动因素之一,本文构建了一个包含银行信贷与经济周期特征的Svensson扩展模型,考察了由贷款损失推断偏差等因素所导致的银行信贷扩张及其宏观效应。通过对我国1984年以来的季度数据分析发现,信贷扩张发生后产出缺口扩大的趋势仅持续4个季度左右,而通胀压力则会持续7个季度以上;信贷总量的适度逆周期调整有助于减少宏观经济的波动和福利损失;信贷总量还与存款准备金率变化之间存在协整关系。应继续密切关注信贷总量变动,并合理引导。  相似文献
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明清时期,晋商文化占据中国商界上百年。他们坚守中国传统的"诚"的理念,以信用为基础,创立了票号,也就是近代中国银行的雏形。诚和信的理念为现代会计制度奠定地基础,丰富了会计文化内涵。晋商会计就是中国近代会计的典型代表,而晋商发明的中式复式记账——"龙门账"在世界的会计史上熠熠生辉。晋商文化精髓仍须要现代会计人一代一代传承、创新,发展。今天的会计科学,完善会计技术,提高会计审美能力,追求会计的真、善、美。  相似文献
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从紧的货币政策是2011年央行货币政策的主基调。落实从紧的货币政策要求,需要继续加强银行体系流动性管理,抑制货币信贷过快增长。在这样的大背景下,我国银行信贷经营的发展将会受到很大的挑战,分析政府信用主导下银行信贷经营的约束类型是研究银行业发展的重中之重。  相似文献
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银行危机通常都处于金融危机的核心位置,保持银行业稳定是维护金融稳定的核心关键。征信是社会信用关系发展到高级阶段而伴生的一种信用信息服务,它是金融体系分工的自然结果,它把商业银行金融机构贷前调查、贷前审查的相当一部分任务专业化,它是服务于银行业信用风险管理服务中的一项最普遍、最基本的业务,是防范银行风险的一个关键环节。  相似文献
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This article analyses the determinants of the trade credit in Spanish manufacturing small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) from a new perspective. Specifically, we focus on the relationship between trade credit and other relevance financial resources: bank credit and self-financing. For the first time in the literature, a quantile regression approach is used, which takes into account the heterogeneity of firms in different quantiles of trade credit distribution. Our results show that the relationship between trade credit and other financial sources presents dissimilarities, including differences in sign, on SMEs with different degrees of trade credit. Our findings help to clarify the confusing results achieved in previous research on this topic.  相似文献
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By its nature, bank money is endogenous, but its issuing is risky and presupposes the presence of banks' shareholders' funds. Shareholders' funds give banks the means of dealing with the difficulties involved in the process of money creation and which are inherent to the banking activity: convertibility constraint, credit and liquidity risks. Unlike the Richardian paradigm, Smith's ‘real bill theory’ and Thornton's ‘lender of last resort theory’ point out the functions of shareholder's funds. Therefore their monetary-banking approachs seem more complementary than contradictory. In other respects, the theory of endogenous money and credit introduces risks and capital in the analysis of exchange and lead to questioning the classical market theory constructed on the model of bartering  相似文献
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The theory of endogenous money has tended to reduce to a debate over the slope of the LM. This is because endogenous money is a dynamic phenomenon, and its implications are masked in static models such as ISLM. This paper examines the role of endogenous money in credit-driven business cycles. A key distinction concerns that between bank and direct credit. The former is more expansionary because it involves creation of new money balances, whereas the latter involves transfer of existing money balances. The paper provides a simulation revealing instability emerges at a lower debt-income ratio as the share of bank debt in total debt rises.  相似文献
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