海洋新兴产业研究综述

海洋新兴产业是以海洋高新技术为基础的产业,其培育和发展应主要依靠技术及创新驱动,但目前我国海洋战略性新兴产业的发展却创新不足.海洋新兴产业的相关研究主要集中于海洋新兴产业的概念内涵、产业特征、技术创新、产业布局等方面.总体来看,现有文献对海洋新兴产业的市场前景、发展现状和问题的研究认识较为一致;通过创新促进海洋新兴产业...     

基于灰色系统理论的海洋主导新兴产业选择研究——以山东半岛蓝色经济区为例

利用灰色系统理论,以山东半岛蓝色经济区为研究对象,构建海洋主导新兴产业评价体系,选择该区域的海洋主导新兴产业.结果表明:山东半岛蓝色经济区的海洋主导新兴产业应该选取属于海洋第二产业的海洋生物医药业和海水利用业;而现代海洋渔业(海洋第一产业)和海洋油气业(海洋第二产业)具有发展为海洋主导新兴产业的潜力和实力,属于优势产业;归为一般产业的滨海旅游业(海洋第三产业)和海洋电力业(海洋第二产业)则有待继续发展.在制定科学的政策体系、构建海洋产业集聚区、注重基础研究和应用型人才培养、加强海洋生态环保意识等方面做出符合蓝色经济区发展的战略抉择,提升海洋主导新兴产业发展水平,带动关联产业进步,促进蓝色经济区海洋经济乃至区域经济发展.     

国外海洋经济研究进展

分析了国外海洋经济研究的进展，提出了海洋经济发展的三个阶段，论述了海洋经济学发展的特点，强调海洋经济已经发展成为独立的经济体系，海洋经济等同于全球经济，海洋产业在性质上属于全球产业，海洋经济统计口径渐趋一致，海洋非市场价值研究引起重视，指出海洋可再生能源和海洋生物技术等海洋战略新兴产业具有强大的生命力，并说明经济危机对...     

湛江对标青岛发展海洋新兴产业的思考

发展海洋工程装备制造、海洋生物医药、海水综合利用等海洋新兴产业是湛江“十二五”时期加快海洋经济转型升级,建设“全国海洋经济强市”的重要抓手.目前湛江海洋新兴产业的发展水平明显落后于对标对象青岛,本文通过比较分析湛江与青岛两地主要海洋新兴产业的发展现状,总结出青岛海洋新兴产业在规划制定、企业体系培育、科技创新、金融支撑体系、国际交流合作等方面的成功经验,借以促进湛江海洋新兴产业不断壮大,使其成为湛江海洋经济的新增长点.     

战略性海洋新兴产业发展的个案研究

我国的战略性海洋新兴产业主要包括海洋生物医药、海水利用、海洋可再生能源和海洋工程装备等产业,战略性海洋新兴产业具有巨大的发展潜力和良好的发展机遇。环渤海地区的战略性海洋新兴产业起步较早,在产业规模、产业技术等方面具有一定优势,其经验对其他沿海地区发展战略性海洋新兴产业具有一定的参考价值。当前,应通过建立政府调节和市场调节相结合的产业发展调节机制、保护海洋生态环境、建立海洋资源开发投入机制、促进海洋科技成果转化等途径加快发展战略性海洋新兴产业。     

海洋战略性新兴产业选择基本准则体系研究

本文是根据近十年发表的期刊论文为基础资料,主要对主导产业的选择基准,战略性新兴产业的选择基准及海洋产业的选择基准进行了梳理,并根据海洋战略性新兴产业的特性概括归纳出海洋战略性新兴产业的选择准则体系,包括选择海洋战略性新兴产业的总体准则,以及根据迈克尔.波特钻石模型得出海洋战略性新兴产业四个子准则体系来进行海洋战略性新兴产业的选择,即生产要素准则,企业战略和竞争准则,相关支持性产业发展准则和预期需求准则。     

战略性新兴产业发展效率测度与金融支持

推动战略性新兴产业发展,促进结构转型是中国经济未来面临的主要任务,而实现战略性新兴产业发展离不开金融支持。基于业态比较的研究方法,从产业特征和发展效率评价两方面把战略性新兴产业与主导产业、支柱产业及高新技术产业进行了比较研究,并据此提出了一个评价战略性新兴产业发展效率的评价框架。从产业发展、产业过程和产业目标等方面提出了包括全过程金融支持、探索多元融资途径、充分发挥政策性担保机构的融资担保职能和创新金融支持模式等具体金融支持政策建议。     

基于灰色关联分析法的我国海洋战略性新兴产业选择研究

海洋经济作为一个复杂系统,海洋产业之间存在关联。为准确评价和科学选择海洋战略性新兴产业,根据赫希曼的产业关联度标准,利用灰色系统理论,采用灰色关联分析法,首先分析海洋三次产业与海洋经济之间的关联,得出海洋第二产业和海洋第三产业与海洋经济的关联度较大。其次,分析海洋第二产业和海洋第三产业的亚产业与海洋经济的关联度,找出具体产业与海洋经济的关联度。最后,根据具体海洋产业的关联度大小,同时综合考虑海洋战略性新兴产业的基本特征,科学选择出滨海旅游业、海洋生物医药业和海水利用业等八大海洋产业作为我国海洋战略性新兴产业。     

中国海洋产业研究进展与展望

海洋产业是海洋经济地理学研究的核心领域,进入21世纪以来国内研究成果日益增多,相关文献主要是在海洋经济地理和海洋经济的范畴下去回顾中国海洋产业的研究进展,缺乏从整个海洋产业全局的角度对中国海洋产业研究进行科学系统的梳理。科学认识和总结中国海洋产业研究取得的成就、发展过程和特点是推进学科发展的前提。基于Cite Space知识图谱和Excel数据统计对31年来我国海洋产业研究总体特征进行了梳理和总结。从论文的发表数量上看,海洋产业相关研究逐步成为研究热点。同时,海洋产业的研究团队逐渐扩充,研究领域逐步扩大,研究深度也日益加深。海洋产业的主要研究领域包括海洋产业结构、海洋产业布局、海洋产业集聚与集群、海洋产业竞争力等方面,海洋产业贡献度、海洋产业安全、海洋产业碳排放测度等正成为新兴研究热点。但国内海洋产业研究还存在不足,未来研究应进一步完善海洋产业理论体系,注重海洋战略性新兴产业研究,同时加强对国外海洋产业研究的借鉴与比较,并将海洋环境问题作为研究重点。     

李萍：发展邮轮经济要目标明确

邮轮经济作为提升海洋产业的重要内容,在这个大体系中开展珠三角发展邮轮经济的研究有很重要的意义。作为我国新兴产业,邮轮产业得到了政府的重视和支持。深圳太子湾就是一个很好的例子。目前深圳已将建设太子湾邮轮母港纳入扶持海洋产业发展的政策性文件,成为深圳继陆地上的新型工业化后,开始构筑“海上深圳强市”的海洋产业化目标。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.