东北区域经济一体化初探

我国东北经济当前面临的国际和国内形势要求各省区联合起来。构建和发展区域经济合作和区域一体化的地缘优势、人力资源优势。资源优势和基础设施优势等是东北区域一体化的前提保障。要实现东北区域经济一体化，一要实现组织制度创新；二是体制创新；三是模式创新；四是驱动模式转换：由政府推动型为主转向经济促动型为主。     

跨世纪我国区域经济发展与制度创新

本文通过对国际国内经济形势与宏观背景的分析，深入考察了当前我国区域经济发展中面临的主要问题，并在此基础上提出了２１世纪我国区域经济发展的四大趋势：一是我国区域经济发展将逐步形成网络开发的总体布局格局；二是我国国民经济的高速增长势头将由东南部沿海逐步向北部和中西部地区推进；三是地区间产业分工将由部门间分工逐步向部门内分工转变；四是一些区位和经济条件较好的中心城市将逐步发展成为全国或地区性的金融和管理控制中心。同时，在未来市场竞争和区域经济发展中，制度创新将起着越来越重要的作用     

制度型开放对城市经济效率的影响研究——基于自由贸易试验区设立的经验

自由贸易试验区作为新时代中国推进制度型开放的重要举措，对于推动地区经济高质量发展起到重要作用。文章利用2007—2019年中国266个城市数据，使用多期双重差分模型考察了自由贸易试验区政策对于城市经济效率的影响。研究发现：自由贸易试验区政策有效提升了城市经济效率；自由贸易试验区的设立通过改善城市营商环境、促进区域内要素集聚，进而推动城市经济效率的提升，但其带来的市场竞争效应对于城市经济效率呈现抑制作用；异质性分析表明，沿海自由贸易试验区的政策效应更加明显，经济发展水平较高地区的自由贸易试验区政策效应更为明显，政府效率越高越有利于政策效应的发挥；自由贸易试验区设立没有产生虹吸效应，并未对本省其他城市的经济效率与地区经济协调发展造成负面影响，这表明自由贸易试验区推动城市经济增长不是通过存量资源再配置产生的，而是具有显著的净增长效应。未来我国应稳步扩大制度型开放，构建高质量市场体系；提高政府效率，推动自由贸易试验区制度创新成果转化为高质量经济发展成果；重视产业高质量发展对自由贸易试验区建设的支撑作用；加快自由贸易试验区改革成果的推广与扩散。     

中国区域高校创新驱动力对经济高质量发展的影响

高校创新驱动力是高校开展科研投入、知识创新、成果转化和创新协作等一系列科技创新活动以及与高校科研体制、政府创新政策在相互作用过程中形成的促进经济高质量发展的系统动力。提升区域高校创新驱动力对实现区域经济高质量发展具有重要意义，也有助于推进区域创新协调发展。为了客观全面地呈现出中国区域高校创新驱动力，充分发挥高校创新驱动经济发展的影响效应，采用2012—2021年中国内地31个省市自治区高校创新数据，编制区域高校创新驱动力指数，并通过双向固定效应模型考察其对区域经济高质量发展的影响。研究发现：区域高校创新驱动力水平与区域经济发展水平密切相关，中西部地区的高校创新驱动力指数显著低于东部地区；区域高校创新驱动力对区域经济高质量发展具有显著正向影响，且高校科技创新的经济高质量发展效应更显著；区域高校科技创新与制度创新对区域经济高质量发展具有显著的协同驱动作用，但制度创新的驱动作用较弱。     

新疆天山北坡经济带发展的制度供给与制度创新

新疆天山北坡经济带的经济在全疆具有相对优势 ,为此自治区政府将其做为新疆优先发展的经济区域。该区域无论走什么样的发展模式 ,区域经济一体化是其必要条件。为此需要大量省级政府的制度供给 ,以建立该区域统一的市场体系。同时要抑制地方政府的行政过度现象 ,打破行政割据 ,形成小政府、大市场的格局 ,使该区域的微观主体走上制度创新的改革之路。     

“大兰州”构建区域中心城市的路径分析

世界各国区域经济发展趋势表明，中心城市日益成为区域经济社会发展的核心和引擎；甘肃区域发展战略得以实施的关键在于如何做大做强兰州这个中心城市；基于“大视野”，构筑“大产业”，形成“大市场”，建设“大都市”，完善“大交通”，打造“大中心”是将“大兰州”建设成区域性现代化中心城市的基本路径。     

中心城市与区域经济协调发展研究--以晋城为例

中心城市是区域经济发展的火车头,而区域经济则是中心城市的依托和支撑。中心城市和区域经济相互作用的路径是,以城市为中心由面——点——面的进程。生产要素极化和扩散、中心城市对区域经济的聚集和辐射,在现代社会,载体及其传导机制主要是企业、产业和城镇体系三者的相互作用。生产要素极化和扩散,中心城市对区域经济的聚集和辐射,是在比较利益推动、市场机制驱动、制度变迁促动、人居环境拉动等动力机制的合力作用下通过企业、产业、城镇体系等载体实现的。     

发挥中心城市作用,打造区域竞争优势

振兴东北老工业基地要发挥中心城市在区域经济中的集聚、辐射和带动作用。通过论述中心城市在区域经济发展中的作用和中心城市与区域经济发展的关系,提出了东北区域经济的具体规划方案,指出了发挥中心城市作用,打造区域竞争优势的途径。     

做大做强省会中心城市

未来五年，福州市将以建设海峡西岸经济核心城市为目标，充分发挥省会中心城市的人流、物流、资金流、信息流密集优势，进一步增强省会中心城市的集聚辐射能力，全面发挥福州的海洋资源优势，全力打造海洋经济强市，大力实施“一城两翼双轴线”城镇群发展战略，加快构筑跨江向海、山水相间的沿江滨海式城市发展新格局。     

我国信息化建设重点发展十大领域

据国家发展计划委员会信息，今后中国信息化建设将重点发展以下十大领域： 　　1.加速信息网络基础设施建设，建设新一代的高速信息传输骨干网络和宽带高速计算机互联网，构筑满足经济与社会发展需要的信息化基础信息平台。 　　2.建设电子政务系统，构筑政府网络平台，形成联接中央到地方的政府业务信息系统，实现政府网上信息交换、信息发布、信息服务。 　　3.制定中国电子商务政策框架，完善金融支付清算系统，建立全国和城市物流配送体系，大力发展电子商务。 　　4.推进数字化城市工程，加速三网合一的城市数字化建设。 　　5.加快移…     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.