Is there “productivity paradox” in Chinese producer-service enterprises' OFDI?

As an important decision of enterprise internationalization, is there a similar phenomenon of “productivity paradox” in Chinese enterprises' overseas investment? We study this issue by using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms in the producer-service industry from 2007 to 2019. According to our empirical results, there is no “productivity paradox” phenomenon in the OFDI of producer-service enterprises in China. In other words, the productivity of enterprises is positively correlated with OFDI. After using the different variable measures and adopting IV estimation, this conclusion is still robust. Our research also finds that cost reduction effect, R&D improvement effect and industrial linkage effect are the three main influencing mechanisms. By analyzing the heterogeneity of dimensions such as the nature of enterprise ownership, technology intensity, cultural distance of investment destinations, and whether they belong to the “OBOR” (One Belt, One Road), we find that productivity has a more significant effect on OFDI in SOEs, technology-intensive enterprises and enterprises whose investment destinations belong to non-OBOR, and with closer cultural proximity. This paper provides implications for Chinese enterprises on how to improve their international competitiveness through OFDI.     

Factor price distortion,efficiency loss and enterprises' outward foreign direct investment

The ways in which the factor market distortions induced by China's gradual reform affect enterprises' outward direct investment decision-making represent a topic that needs further study under the new pattern of an open economy. Based on the 2003–2007 China Industrial Enterprises Database, this paper examines the impact of factor price distortions on firms' OFDI behavior from enterprise productivity by using the intermediary effect model. The results show that: Firstly, factor price distortion will bring efficiency loss, but factor price distortion has a positive impact on enterprises' OFDI decision-making, and there is a significant intermediary effect on enterprise productivity. Secondly, there is a partial intermediary effect on enterprise productivity in China's Eastern and Central regions, and for capital price distortions, enterprise productivity in the Eastern areas has a cover-up effect. In Western regions, however, it shows a complete intermediary effect. Thirdly, compared with state-owned enterprises, factor price distortion on OFDI decision-making depends more on the intermediary role of productivity.     

中国OFDI技术创新效应的传导机制——基于资本要素市场扭曲视角的分析

本文尝试构建一个中国OFDI(对外直接投资)技术创新效应传导机制理论框架,并对资本要素市场扭曲影响OFDI技术创新效应的作用机制和结果进行拓展分析。研究表明:近年来中国企业OFDI对技术创新具有正向效果,且OFDI企业可以通过从劳动密集型向资本密集型的转型升级、提高管理效率以及生产效率这三个重要途径实现其技术创新能力的跃升;现阶段中国资本要素市场扭曲现象会显著抑制企业OFDI技术创新效应,作用机制是,资本要素市场扭曲作为干扰外部摩擦因子,通过降低企业资本要素密集度和生产效率等渠道抑制企业OFDI技术创新效果。本文进一步提出构建知识产权金融化建议,包含知识产权股权化、知识产权证券化和知识产权流动性机制等内容,以此引导更多金融资源和人力资源参与企业技术创新活动。     

中国OFDI技术创新效应的传导机制——基于资本要素市场扭曲视角的分析

本文尝试构建一个中国OFDI(对外直接投资)技术创新效应传导机制理论框架,并对资本要素市场扭曲影响OFDI技术创新效应的作用机制和结果进行拓展分析。研究表明:近年来中国企业OFDI对技术创新具有正向效果,且OFDI企业可以通过从劳动密集型向资本密集型的转型升级、提高管理效率以及生产效率这三个重要途径实现其技术创新能力的跃升;现阶段中国资本要素市场扭曲现象会显著抑制企业OFDI技术创新效应,作用机制是,资本要素市场扭曲作为干扰外部摩擦因子,通过降低企业资本要素密集度和生产效率等渠道抑制企业OFDI技术创新效果。本文进一步提出构建知识产权金融化建议,包含知识产权股权化、知识产权证券化和知识产权流动性机制等内容,以此引导更多金融资源和人力资源参与企业技术创新活动。     

中国企业“走出去”获得发达国家“核心技术”了吗?——基于技能偏向性技术进步视角的分析

技能偏向性技术进步是创新型经济发展的基本动力,也是发达国家高科技领域核心技术的典型特征。本文从技能偏向性技术进步视角,研究中国企业“走出去”成效问题。论文基于2003-2015年中国对29个OECD成员国OFDI流量,测算了30个省市从发达国家获得的逆向技术溢出水平,利用固定效应和面板门槛模型进行的实证检验表明,OFDI逆向技术溢出对国内技能偏向性技术进步产生了抑制效应,自主创新对技能偏向性技术进步产生了促进效应;制约OFDI逆向技术溢出效应的因素既与国内存在的产能过剩和技术吸收能力不足有关,也与GVC低端锁定和发达国家的技术封锁意愿有关。以上研究通过了一系列的稳健性检验。本文研究为反驳美国针对中国“通过海外投资窃取核心技术”的指控提供了依据,对中国的对外投资战略调整也具有重要的启示。     

Does technology-seeking OFDI improve the productivity of Chinese firms under the COVID-19 pandemic?

This paper empirically investigates the impact of technology-seeking outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on firms' productivity under the influence of negative external shocks, taking as a sample the investment data of Chinese firms before and during COVID-19. The results show that technology-seeking OFDI improves productivity, but not under negative external shocks. The dampening effect of such shocks is more significant when the host country is a developed country and in firms with multiple branches. Technology-seeking OFDI particularly improves the productivity of research and development and processing firms, and (among the productivity measures tested) most prominently affects total factor productivity.     

人民币汇率波动如何影响中国企业的对外直接投资?

基于2005-2017 "中国全球投资跟踪数据库"的对外投资微观数据,本文考察人民币汇率波动的不确定性对中国企业对外直接投资的影响。研究发现:人民币汇率波动的增加,不仅减少了中国企业对外直接投资的可能性,也抑制了投资规模,这一结果在考虑内生性问题、样本选择性偏差、不同的汇率波动指标等一系列问题后仍然稳健。基于手工搜集的企业年报数据,研究发现,企业前期的套期保值行为,可以有效规避汇率风险,弱化汇率波动对企业对外投资的抑制作用。进一步研究显示,汇率波动对中国企业对外投资的影响有明显的异质性,投资于不同行业、不同国家的企业以及不同投资方式的企业对人民币汇率波动的反应各异,这又与中国现阶段对外投资的一些独特特征有关。本文研究为汇率波动影响中国企业的对外直接投资行为提供了微观层面的证据。     

“一带一路”建设对要素配置效率的影响——基于中国上市工业企业的研究

本文借鉴Hsieh and Klenow(2009)的理论框架,采用2010—2018年中国上市工业企业数据,使用双重差分方法,考察“一带一路”建设对要素配置效率的影响。结果表明,从平均意义上看,“一带一路”建设显著改善了位于重点对接省份企业的劳动配置效率,但对资本配置效率的作用尚不明显。机制分析结果表明,“一带一路”建设主要通过深化重点对接省份的开放水平,尤其是促进它们的双向直接投资规模,改善劳动要素配置效率。进一步研究发现,要素流动表现出“劳动往高处走,资本往低处流”的特征,导致劳动和资本的配置效率出现“分野”:在重点对接“一带一路”的省份,劳动生产率高的企业配置了更多的劳动要素,劳动配置效率得以改善;但由于市场资源配置能力尚未得到充分释放,资本生产率高的企业在资本要素获取上还未体现出明显优势。     

国企混合所有制能治疗僵尸企业吗？ —— 一个混合所有制类啄序逻辑

本文使用1998-2013年中国工业企业数据库,采用国际前沿方法识别出僵尸企业,然后比较了国企控股、国企参股以及转制民企这三种混合所有制改革策略治疗僵尸国企的效果。实证结果表明:相对于纯国企,混合所有制改革对僵尸国企具有显著的治疗效果;在多种混合所有制改革策略中,转制民企优于国企参股,国企参股优于国企控股,这形成了一种“国企混改类啄序”现象;然而,上述“啄序”现象并非对所有国企都适用,对于那些所处行业垄断程度高、企业政治级别高的国企,单纯民营化导向的混改对僵尸企业治愈的效果较差;最后,混合所有制改革治疗僵尸国企的主要渠道,是降低了国企的期间费用(主要是管理费用)。本文的结果为处置僵尸企业和渐进式改革提供了重要的理论依据。     

事实汇率制度选择、企业生产率与对外直接投资

企业“走出去”和汇率制度安排灵活化是中国参与全球经济的两大典型特征,本文从企业异质性视角讨论了双边事实汇率制度选择对企业对外直接投资的影响效应。理论层面上,本文将Gali and Monacelli(2005)的一般均衡框架拓展为两国模型,发现双边固定汇率制度降低了企业进入东道国开展OFDI活动的生产率阈值,提高了企业对外直接投资倾向。同时,尽管企业生产率的提升能够促进企业对外直接投资活动,但其促进力度明显不及双边事实固定汇率制度安排。实证层面上,本文采用了中国商务部公布的2000-2013年《境外投资企业(机构)名录》等微观企业数据,发现双边事实固定汇率制度能使企业进行OFDI概率平均提高0.8%~55.4%。考虑其他异质性因素及内生性问题后,本文主要结论依然稳健。     

Does the social security fund help non-financial enterprises to transform from the virtual to the real?

At its 19th National Congress, the Communist Party of China vowed to “strengthen the financial sector’s ability to serve the real economy.” However, many studies provide evidence of the opposite trend, a problematic “transition from the real to the virtual,” among Chinese enterprises. Meanwhile, the investment efficiency of China’s Social Security Fund (SSF), a public fund, attracts much attention. In this context, we use A-share listed companies in China from 2009 to 2018 to study the relationship between holding by the SSF and enterprise financialization. We find that SSF holding significantly inhibits financialization and that this effect is non-linear. Mechanism analysis indicates that SSF holding suppresses enterprises’ financialization mainly by improving their governance. Moreover, SSF holding more strongly inhibits small-scale (vs. large-scale), state-owned (vs. non-state-owned), and non-eastern (vs. eastern) enterprises in China. Furthermore, SSF holding can alleviate corporate value impairment caused by financialization. The conclusions enrich theoretical research and provide empirical evidence that may help regulatory authorities to guide investment by enterprises and prevent financial risks.     

对外直接投资、控制风险与上市公司审计费用

本文在国家实施"走出去"战略的背景下,研究企业对外直接投资对审计费用的影响。研究以2007~2018年我国A股上市公司为样本,发现进行对外直接投资的企业,审计费用显著高于没有对外直接投资的企业,说明审计师能够识别因企业对外直接投资导致的审计风险的上升和审计成本的增加,并通过增加审计费用的方式予以补偿;且此差异不因产权性质和企业所在地市场化水平而异;采用改变样本量、PSM及多时点DID等进行稳健性检验后,研究结论保持不变。进一步分析发现,如果企业内部控制质量较高,控制风险水平较低,则对外直接投资与审计费用之间的关系会弱化,表明控制风险在对外直接投资与审计费用之间起到调节作用,且此作用仅在非国有控股及市场化水平较高地区的企业中显著。     

Knowledge-seeking and firm international performance: Evidence from Chinese multinational enterprises

This study focuses on whether the outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) of Chinese multinational enterprises (MEs) can improve firm international performance by seeking and transferring knowledge from developed markets (DMs). To control for the endogeneity and self-selection problem when deciding whether overseas investment should be accepted, propensity score matching (PSM) and difference-in-difference (DID) methods are combined to test the hypothesis. Samples of Chinese A-share listed firms over the period 2003–2018 are used to test the effects of knowledge seeking on firms' international performance. The empirical results indicate that Chinese EMs' OFDI in DMs can indeed improve their competitiveness in the world market through a combination of reverse spillovers and knowledge transfer.     

The Influential Factors on Outward Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from the “The Belt and Road”

ABSTRACT

In this article, we investigate the nonlinear impact on outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) using panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model with the sample of 12 countries along “The Belt and Road Initiative” in the period of 2010–2015. We find that both overall economic freedom (EF), the interaction of EF and institutional instance, bilateral trade, GDP, and patent significantly influence OFDI. We also demonstrate that EF and economic development exert the inverted “U” effect on OFDI in the different regime. Accordingly, policies specifically designed to increase development of OFDI should be required to address the negative effects considering the differences of EF and economic development.     

中国资本产出、资本回报与资本流向之谜--基于劳动力价格扭曲视角北大核心

本文通过建立生产部门的要素买方垄断市场均衡模型,利用1996-2016年中国省级面板数据测算中国劳动力价格扭曲程度,并使用固定效应模型(FE)及面板固定效应的工具变量(IV)估计方法加以分析,从劳动力价格扭曲视角解答了中国资本产出、资本回报与资本流向之谜,即中国经济如何在赶超阶段面临资本深化不断加剧和TFP增长乏力的情况下,依靠劳动力价格扭曲实现低资本产出与高资本回报水平共存,从而维持长期高速资本积累以及优质的资本流向结构。实证研究表明:劳动力价格扭曲降低了资本产出效率,但这并不能掩盖由劳动力向资本方转移的垄断利润对资本回报的直接补贴,因此劳动力价格扭曲对中国维持高资本回报水平起到了重要的支撑作用,并通过高资本回报水平实现了地区资本快速积累,劳动力价格扭曲对资本流向的积极作用还体现在抑制资本"脱实向虚"及吸引外资流入。因此,应正视劳动力价格扭曲在赶超阶段的特殊作用,在矫正扭曲的过程中循序渐进,更积极采取措施规避其对资本回报和资本流向可能产生的不利影响。     

估算中国的IFDI和OFDI——来自“避税天堂”与返程投资的证据

本文梳理了现有文献对离岸金融中心导致的直接投资头寸统计偏差进行修正的方法,详细比较了直接投资头寸数据集的优劣差异,并以CDIS宏观数据集为基础,引入Orbis微观企业数据库作为重要补充,对直接投资的动机按避税目的和境外上市目的进行区分,以此估算我国的IFDI和OFDI存量。结果表明:(1)估算后,来自离岸金融中心的IFDI调减1.1万亿美元,其中超过80%是出于避税目的进行的返程投资;(2)考虑VIE架构境外上市企业的影响后,返程投资占比增长至近37%,规模约1万亿美元,其中VIE架构境外上市企业贡献了16%;(3)我国对外投资存在经过“避税天堂”进行中转的现象,其中最终投向英属维尔京群岛的OFDI存量约占1/4,是我国实际OFDI的最主要投向地。     

排污征费对绿色全要素生产率的影响效应研究 ——基于GPSM的政策效应评估

选取中国1997-2016年的省际面板数据,采用连续变量的广义倾向得分匹配方法,考察排污征费这一环境规制政策对绿色全要素生产率的影响。结果显示：排污征费强度与绿色全要素生产率之间存在“U形”的关系,即随着排污征费强度的提升,绿色全要素生产率呈先下降后上升的趋势,超过一定适宜强度的排污征费才能促进绿色全要素生产率的提升。     

The Estimation of Quality-adjusted Rates of Return in Stamp Auctions

The stamp auction market exemplifies markets in which a dominant feature is the quality variation in the traded assets. The observed price changes are a mixture of the “true” price change and the quality variation. This paper applies the time series signal extraction method to obtain estimates of quality-adjusted rates of return and quality-adjusted price indexes for stamp auction price series. The method is applicable to other areas in which there is quality variation or in which values are observed with error. Some features of stamps as an investment are also examined.     

Macroeconomic Implications of “Deep Habits” in Banking

Recent empirical evidence shows that price‐cost margins in the market for bank credit are countercyclical in the U.S. economy and that this cyclical behavior can be explained in part from the fact that switching banks is costly for customers (i.e., from a borrower hold‐up effect). Our goal, in this paper, is to study the “financial accelerator” role of these countercyclical margins as a propagation mechanism of macroeconomic shocks. To do so, we apply the “deep habits” framework in Ravn, Schmitt‐Grohé, and Uribe (2006) to financial markets to model this hold‐up effect within a monopolistically competitive banking industry. We are able to reproduce the pattern of price‐cost margins observed in the data, and to show that the real effects of aggregate total factor productivity shocks are larger the stronger the friction implied by borrower hold‐up. Also, output, investment, and employment all become more volatile than in a standard model with constant margins in credit markets. An empirical contribution of our work is to provide structural estimates of the deep habits parameters for financial markets.     

协同创新网络与企业出口绩效——基于社会网络和企业异质性的研究

全球价值链分工迅速由"产业内"向"产品内"深化的背景下,企业难以在所有领域都保持国际领先,协同创新网络能够有效促进企业、科研单位之间的优势互补和资源统筹,从而提升企业出口绩效表现。本文基于联合申请专利数据构建了1999-2007年中国协同创新网络,分析了协同创新网络的拓扑特征,结果表明,中国协同创新网络的规模在不断扩大,网络存在明显的核心-边缘结构,少数节点具有大量的关联,处于协同创新网络的核心位置。进一步实证检验发现,协同创新企业拥有更好的出口绩效,在协同创新网络中处于核心位置的企业占有更大市场份额。"企-企"模式协同创新显著促进了企业出口,而"研-企"模式协同创新的作用并不明显。各类型专利的协同创新都显著促进了企业的出口,但外观设计类型协同创新的影响相对较小。协同创新对企业价格加成影响显著为正,且对出口企业的提升作用更强。本文试图从协同创新网络视角为中国创新战略的实施和企业出口绩效的提升提供现实可行路径。