Banks’ deferred tax assets during the financial crisis

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting - Prior studies have demonstrated that the net deferred tax liabilities of industrial firms are valued by market participants in a manner consistent...     

Volatility forecasting: long memory,regime switching and heteroscedasticity

In this article, we account for the first time for long memory, regime switching and the conditional time-varying volatility of volatility (heteroscedasticity) to model and forecast market volatility using the heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility (HAR-RV) and its extensions. We present several interesting and notable findings. First, existing models exhibit significant nonlinearity and clustering, which provide empirical evidence on the benefit of introducing regime switching and heteroscedasticity. Second, out-of-sample results indicate that combining regime switching and heteroscedasticity can substantially improve predictive power from a statistical viewpoint. More specifically, our proposed models generally exhibit higher forecasting accuracy. Third, these results are widely consistent across a variety of robustness tests such as different forecasting windows, forecasting models, realized measures, and stock markets. Consequently, this study sheds new light on forecasting future volatility.     

容量受限条件下的古镇产品开发策略应用研究 ——以重庆巫溪宁厂古镇为例

本文通过宁厂古镇的规划实例,通过挖掘古镇三大核心价值载体,探索性提出小容量古镇开发的商业模式,即以"一价全包"的新型住宿+游乐+体验为核心;在产品定位上,区别现有的大众观光型古镇,设计了面向中高端市场的度假型古镇产品,并在进行潜在客源市场测试后,进行了产品修正.     

高校跨学科创新团队知识互动程度评价研究

知识互动程度评价对改善高校跨学科创新团队知识互动具有重要意义。在界定高校跨学科创新团队知识互动及知识互动程度内涵的基础上，创新性地从知识互动深度、互动广度、互动时间3个维度建立知识互动程度评价指标体系。进一步地，采用三角模糊权重、熵权和模糊积分相结合的方法，构建知识互动程度评价模型。最后，选取一所高校跨学科创新团队进行实例分析，验证评价模型的可操作性，可为高校跨学科创新团队知识互动程度评价提供一个新视角。     

New Evidence on Housing Wealth and Consumption Channels

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - This paper provides new evidence on the effect of housing wealth on consumption by focusing on the impact of home-equity extraction. We develop a...     

政策不确定性、财政扩张与区域商业银行风险——基于中国地方官员变更和银行业的证据

文章利用2007-2017年我国93家区域商业银行的面板数据，并结合省级宏观经济数据和地方官员变更数据，实证考察了中国地方官员变更引起的经济政策不确定性对区域商业银行风险的重要影响。研究结果表明：（1）地方官员变更引起的政策不确定性增大了区域商业银行风险；（2）地方官员变更引起的政策不确定性，通过提高银行的资产收益率降低了商业银行风险；而不确定性时期的财政扩张，通过降低银行资产收益率增大了商业银行风险；并且财政扩张的负面影响大于政策不确定性的正面影响；（3）各省的市委书记发生职位更替引起的政策不确定性对区域商业银行风险的影响更大。文章研究为新时代背景下的金融供给侧结构性改革、政府宏观经济政策的制定以及财政体制与金融体制之间的联系提供参考。     

纤维蛋白胶粘合法联合神经生长因子治疗周围神经损伤的临床疗效

目的探讨纤维蛋白胶(FG)粘合法联合神经生长因子(NGF)治疗周围神经损伤的临床疗效。方法选取我院2006年8月至2013年10月就诊的124例腓总神经损伤患者,随机均分为两组,对照组患者单纯使用缝合法,试验组患者在缝合法的基础上配合使用FG粘合法联合NGF治疗,随访6个月以上,分析两组患者的运动功能和患肢感觉疗效。结果试验组患者总有效率明显优于对照组,差异有统计学异议(P<0.05)。结论周围神经损伤的修复与再生过程中使用FG粘合法联合NGF治疗,可有效改善患者症状,安全性高,不良反应较少。     

When Do Qualitative Risk Disclosures Backfire? The Effects of a Mismatch in Hedge Disclosure Formats on Investors' Judgments

Disclosure standards mandate the quantitative disclosure of hedging‐instrument‐related risks but not the disclosure of hedged‐item‐related risks. We examine how a match (mismatch) in formats, caused by making quantitative (qualitative) hedged item disclosures alongside quantitative hedging instrument disclosures, affects investors' integration of information from these two related disclosures. Our first experiment varies the hedged item disclosure format (quantitative or qualitative) and the portion of risk hedged (small or large). We find that when disclosure formats are mismatched, the less comparable nature of the two disclosures caused investors to neglect the offsetting relationship when assessing net risks. As a result, risk and investment judgments were influenced by the more prominent quantitative hedging instrument disclosures. Our second experiment finds that the use of a qualitative debiaser that clarifies the relationship between the two disclosures led to the integration of information and mitigated this effect.     

施工企业引导EPC项目初步设计策划

EPC工程总承包合同模式不同于施工总承包,通常情况下业主不提供施工图纸,业主只对工程的功能性提出相应要求.承包商可以综合协调建筑的使用功能、结构安全、工期、成本等诸多因素,最大限度地发挥设计的主导作用,为业主提供优质服务的同时,增加自身的盈利水平.EPC项目不论何种模式,从成本造价控制角度讲,其设计阶段管控效果要远远大于采购与施工阶段.通过商务创效引导初步设计,从源头落实商务策划,锁定工程概算,降低EPC项目设计风险,加强设计前段管理,能有效地提升项目生产经营能力.