Multinational country risk: Exposure to asset holding risk and operating risk in international business

We address the phenomenon of country total risk, confounded by the risk of holding assets abroad and operating them in the foreign market. The findings point to deep differences in risk patterns as ownership of intangible assets exposes the holders to a higher risk. Indeed, the asset-specific risk is the dominant component of advance market volatility, explaining more than 80 percent of the cross-sectional variance. The model in the study accounts for the deficiencies in the related research streams and attempt to alleviate the typical problems in popular estimation methods.     

大股东持股、治理环境与信息披露质量

本文以2005～2008年间的深市上市公司为研究样本,选用深市信息披露考评结果衡量信息披露质量水平,构建Logistic回归模型对大股东持股、治理环境和信息披露质量的关系进行实证分析.研究结果发现,提高第一大股东持股比例和增加大股东个数对信息披露质量有正面影响;第二大股东持股状态对信息披露质量影响不显著;在治理环境好的地区,提高第一大股东持股比例有利于改善信息披露质量,而在治理环境较差的地区,增加大股东个数更有利于提高信息披露质量.     

“监督管理层”还是“约束大股东”？基金持股对中国上市公司价值的影响

本文采用2009-2017年中国非金融类上市公司的数据实证检验了基金持股对公司价值的影响,并对两条影响途径(监督管理层和抑制控股股东侵占)做了分析。结果表明:(1)基金持股比例增加显著提升了上市公司价值,且这种促进作用随着控股股东持股比例的上升而增强,同时这种效应只在非国有企业中表现显著,在国有企业中则不显著;(2)按投资策略分类发现,除主动型和被动型基金外,准指数基金持股也可以提升公司价值;(3)在控制了基金数量后,基金持股比例对公司价值的影响显著降低。以上结果表明,与发达国家基金持股主要通过监督管理层来提升公司价值的传导途径不同,我国基金持股对上市公司的积极影响主要体现为对控股股东侵占行为的约束。     

Mean-variance cointegration and the expectations hypothesis

The present paper sheds further light on a well-known (alleged) violation of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure (EHT): the frequent finding of unit roots in interest rate spreads. We show that the EHT implies (i) that the nonstationarity stems from the holding premium, which is hence (ii) cointegrated with the spread. In a stochastic discount factor framework, we model the premium as being driven by the integrated variance of excess returns. Introducing the concept of mean-variance cointegration, we actually find cointegration relations between the conditional first and second moment of US bond data.     

浅析我国金融控股公司的监管问题

通过对我国金融控股公司的发展状况阐述以及对金融控股公司的特殊风险分析,对我国金融控股公司监管的几点建议。     

Holding company risk in China: a final step of state-owned enterprises reform and an emerging problem of corporate governance

Public Enterprise Reform in China has reached a plataeu, and is awaiting the last step of privatization. Most of non-regulated industries in China has improved their competitiveness thorough a hard and intense competition, particularly in the home appliance industry. However, it still happened that excellent companies with nationwide brands suddenly fall into severe difficulties and suddenly disappears in the industry, as we seen in the early 1990's. Author argues that this is caused by structure of corporate governance in China, which can facilitate to enhance the control right of the controlling shareholder, that is the government for the most of listed company in China, compared to their holding cash flow right. This corporate structure, which is called “pyramiding” allows an implicit controller of the company, the municipal government, to exploit. In the cases of listed company in China, the “holding company” is the conduit of this risk. Experiences of 2 companies from home appliance industries in China will be documented here.     

中国银行业混业经营趋势研究:金融制度变迁的视角

近些年,国内外经济形势发生重大变化,金融混业经营的趋势也更加明朗,中国加入WTO之后,原有的分业经营的制度均衡必将打破,因此在以风险分析为依据选择实现金融多元化经营过渡模式和设置转变进程是我国未来金融制度变迁的主要方向.     

预防性持有、攀比效应与亚洲经济体外汇储备囤积——基于1980～2009年的数据分析

亚洲经济体持有的外汇储备远超出了经验值范围。亚洲经济体为何囤积外汇储备?本文构建面板数据模型剖析亚洲经济体囤积外汇储备的动机。实证结果表明,亚洲经济体外汇储备囤积行为存在着几种动机:从存量上看,交易性动机和基于预防资本外逃的预防性动机作用最大,但前者比较稳定,后者是驱动外汇储备变动的最重要因素;攀比动机和基于预防经常项目波动的预防性动机存在着上升的趋势;持储动机在不同发展程度和不同汇率制度经济体中也存在着显著的差异性。     

北汽控股公司集团化发展的SWOT分析

本文运用SWOT分析法，深入分析了北汽控股公司集团化发展现有的优势与劣势以及面临的机会与威胁，并验证了该公司集团化发展的战略方向。分析表明，北汽控股公司集团化发展应主要选择SO战略。     

金融危机下的商业银行综合经营模式研究

本文首先分析了全球金融危机对银行业的冲击,接着分析了世界各国商业银行综合经营的模式,再结合国内金融业发展的现状,探讨我国商业银行走金融控股公司发展模式的优势、发展金融控股公司的路径及注意的问题.