Interventions in Markets with Adverse Selection: Implications for Discount Window Stigma

I study the implications for central bank discount window stigma of a workhorse model of adverse selection in financial markets. In the model, firms (banks) need to borrow to finance a productive project. There is limited liability and firms have private information about their ability to repay their debts, which gives rise to the possibility of adverse selection. The central bank can ameliorate the impact of adverse selection by lending to firms. Discount window borrowing is observable and it may be taken as a signal of firms' credit worthiness. Under some conditions, firms borrowing from the discount window may pay higher interest rates to borrow in the market, a phenomenon often associated with the presence of stigma. I discuss these and other outcomes in detail and what they suggest about the relevance of stigma as an empirical phenomenon.     

基于智慧管控平台的电力物资“最后一公里”供应模式创新与应用

通过梳理电力物资“最后一公里”供应中的管控痛点与相关工作现状,提出了需求信息快速传导、跨部门关键业务协同和专业业务数据壁垒破除的工作思路,由此形成“依托信息化管控平台,消除业扩配套项目物资供应管理全过程中各专业间的数据壁垒,推进各关键业务环节的智慧决策,开展物资供应储备的精准化管理与末端配送的主动式服务”的电力物资“最后一公里”供应创新模式,并论述了该模式的管控体系构建和智慧管控平台的关键决策技术与方法,余杭公司实践情况表明该模式能有效提升电力物资“最后一公里”供应效率、保障业扩提质增效。     

Asian Currency Crisis and the International Monetary Fund, 10 Years Later: Overview*

This paper is an overview of the Asian currency crisis in Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea in 1997–1998, with an emphasis on the role of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It provides a detailed account of the development of the crisis and analyses and evaluates the content of IMF advice and its consequences. The size of the IMF package for each of these three countries is judged to have been too small. This paper also has a comparative perspective; the Mexican crisis is reviewed as a precursor to the Asian crisis to see what the IMF learned, and how it prepared, for future crises. The causes of the crises and IMF conditionality for the post‐Asian crisis countries, Russia, Brazil, Turkey, and Argentina, are also compared to the Asian crisis countries. By agreeing to maintain a fixed exchange rate, for example, the IMF is judged to have been “softer” in its approach to the post‐Asian crisis countries.     

组织愿景导航基业长青

本文回顾了理论界对一个组织或企业基业长青的探索过程 ,论述愿景与基业长青的关系 ,提出构建一个组织构建愿景的方法体系 ,内容包括“三个主题”、“四方面构架”和“五步骤操作”等。     

冷链物流“最后一公里”快速配送方法研究

冷链物流“最后一公里”的品质配送，对于实现全程冷链以及提升企业形象有着重要的意义。为了实现冷链物流的快速配送，本文提出了一种基于复杂网络的“最后一公里”物流配送区域划分方法。该方法构建了现实生活中物流配送的复杂网络模型，然后基于两阶段的LinkRank社区发现算法实现了物流配送区域的划分，最后建立了一套完善的物流配送体系。该体系明确了配送中转站以及配送点所覆盖的区域，这些区域所包含的社区物流关系紧密、易于配送。本文通过案例研究，验证了方法的有效性，最终方案可有效提高“最后一公里”的配送效率和降低物流成本。     

基业长青的企业本质: 一种基于广义虚拟经济视角的解释

制度经济学的企业理论在探寻企业的本质时,将企业抽象为市场的对应物,抹杀了现实中不同企业之间存在的差别(异质性),难以理解企业之间的竞争及企业是如何成长.战略管理学则倾向于重视这种差别,并以此为基点从理论上阐释了企业是如何获取并持久保持竞争优势以促进企业成长,但忽视了企业的同质性.本文则从广义虚拟经济二元价值容介态的视角...     

Rejoinder to Peltzman

Since 2008, the U.S. economy has been mired in the second worst economic crisis in its history. Conceivably, massive government spending could bring the economy out of this slump as massive war spending ultimately ended the Great Depression of the 1930s. However, a far superior strategy exists: guaranteeing employment accompanied by retraining to enable all unemployed workers to become absorbed into the regular work force. Beyond ending the crisis, the superiority of this strategy is that it would institutionalize a procedure for insuring that, in an increasingly technologically dynamic and open economy, workers would possess the necessary skills for available jobs. Guaranteeing employment would also eliminate the ecological costs associated with the need to seek growth to generate employment at practically any cost. Finally, it would establish a new moral social contract, whereby everyone is granted the dignity that accompanies being a productive member of society. Welfare for those able to work could disappear, along with the degradation and humiliation accompanying it.     

Consumption in Contemporary Capitalism: The Backward Art of Living

Western economies have undergone a significant transformation over the last half a century as they have moved away from a commitment to full employment, going from activist fiscal policy to its abandonment with the adoption of budgetary austerity. This is not because of any technical or physical incapacity to achieve full employment. Analyzing the broad macroeconomic experience of Canada and the United States in the post-WWII era, the article finds that this growing unemployment has essentially resulted from a deliberate policy choice not to stimulate sufficiently demand via fiscal measures. Learning from the experience of the Great Depression, Michal Kalecki had offered an explanation for this type of policy response in favor of rising long-term unemployment. This article recognizes the relevance and appropriateness of Kalecki's analysis and seeks to determine whether the Minskian institutional proposal for achieving effective full employment (via government as the employer of last resort) would withstand an original Kaleckian critique.     

Sound Money and Sound Financial Policy

Anna Schwartz has long promoted a policy of stable money. She also has advocated sound financial policy. The financial environment, according to her work, is strongly influenced by the degree of aggregate price stability. In this article historical evidence for the U.S. is presented that shows a strong association between aggregate price movements and measures of financial distress. Even in an environment of aggregate price stability in the face of shocks, however, a monetary authority should follow the financial policies of a lender of last resort as advocated over a century ago by Walter Bagehot—to promote adequate funds to allay the public's demand for means of payment in the face of a real financial crisis. Other circumstances involving asset market reversals that Schwartz calls pseudo crises should not be the subject of the monetary authorities' actions.     

一种京城物流配送“最后一公里”解决方案

物流配送“最后一公里”是个复杂系统,具有不确定性,已经成为影响京城物流行业发展的瓶颈.“最后一公里”配送是物流活动得以顺畅进行的根本保证,是京城物流发展的重要环节之一.如今在物流配送末端相对滞后的情况下,物流成本不断增加,而“最后一公里”又是导致物流成本上升的主要因素,一方面,在短时间内物流的末端配送难以摆脱对成本的控制,另一方面,高额的人力资源制约着物流行业利润上升空间.本文运用复杂系统理论,并结合物联网信息技术对物流配送“最后一公里”中存在的问题提出对策及实施方案,期望对京城物流行业的发展有所裨益.