保定市经济区域差异及区域协调发展研究

本文运用统计学定量分析方法中的变差系数（CV）、标准差（S）和综合差异指标（TZ），分析从1965－1999年间，保定市所属各县市经济区域差异的现状和变化状况，指出了90年代经济差异不断扩大的变化趋势，在分析了形成原因后，进而对保定市区域经济发展战略提出了下列建议：优先中轴、带动西部战略；环京津外向型战略；发达县产业结构升级，县域特色经济集聚；构筑京津保经济联合体，形成纵向分工体系；加速城市化；区域倾斜与补偿相结合，建立预警机制等。     

南岳旅游产业结构调整及其对策研究

从南岳旅游产业结构的现状特点及其存在的主要问题分析入手，从资源、区位、市场和宏观经济条件等方面阐明了南岳旅游产业结构调整的有利条件，并得出旅游产业结构调整的主要思路是，在透当前神庙朝拜旅游的基础上，着力开拓面向城镇客源的观光、休闲、度假、康体、娱乐等旅游，大力发展入境旅游。围绕这一产业结构调整思路，提出了一系列对策与措施。     

Investment opportunities and cash holdings of firms: an empirical study on Korean firms

We find that the cash flow sensitivity of cash holdings of firms whose investment opportunities are lower is significantly higher by examining a panel data of 898 Korean firms for 1999–2014. The cash flow sensitivity of investment is also found to be lower in case of low investment opportunity. Both findings suggest that firms decide to hold cash in response to an increase in cash flow when they do not have a good investment opportunity. Precautionary motive because of financial constraints and uncertainty, and agency problems, however, are not associated with the cash flow sensitivity of cash holdings. These findings imply that it is necessary to develop new investment opportunities to encourage firms to spend more cash in Korea.     

基于哈肯模型的高技术产业化过程机制研究

运用自组织理论和方法,在哈肯模型的基础上建立了高技术产业化过程的演化方程,并以北京、天津、上海、河北等29个省市为样本进行了定量化的实证研究。结果表明,研究开发投入强度是高技术产业化过程中的序参量,从而得出要依靠研究开发投入与高科技成果转化的协同作用促进高技术产业快速发展这一结论。     

Health Damage of Air Pollution: An Estimate of a Dose–Response Relationship for the Netherlands

This paper estimates the dose-response relationship between air pollution and the number of work loss days for the Netherlands. The study is based on illness data (work loss days) for the Dutch labour population and average year concentrations of air pollution in 29 districts. The dose-response relationship has been estimated by means of two different techniques: the ordinary least squares method (OLS) and the one-way fixed-effects method (OWFEM), which we consider to be more adequate. In general health effects are much smaller when OWFEM is applied than if OLS is used. With OWFEM a significant relationship is found between sulphate aerosol (SO₄), ammonia (NH₃) and the number of work loss days (WLDs). Particulates (TSP), O₃ and SO₂ have no significant effect on the number of WLDs. These results differ from those obtained in studies in the United States, which indicate that particulates (TSP) and other small particles, ozone (O₃) and to a lesser extent SO₄ and SO₂ significantly influence the number of WLDs.     

旅游地阻力面理论初探--五大连池风景名胜区为例

以生态学中的阻力面理论为依托，创建了符合旅游规划需要的旅游地阻力面理论模型，构建了旅游景点、景区、旅游地、旅游区域之间联系的阻力层次体系，建立了旅游空间联系关系的影响因子系统，提出了旅游地阻力面理论在指导区域、地方及旅游区规划中的作用，并以国家级风景名胜区五大连池为例展示了旅游地阻力面理论在地方旅游开发建设实践中的现实作用。     

江苏省湿地的基本特征及保护

本文论述了江苏省湿地的基本特征,从可持续发展的角度,深入剖析目前湿地现状及存在问题,并提出了江苏省湿地生态系统保护利用的科学对策。     

基于时空路径的城市绿地享用公平性 研究——以成都市新、旧城区为例

从时空间行为视角切入，采用居民活动日志搜集成都市新、旧城区的绿地使用者时空路径数据集，辨识不同时间预算人群的潜在可用绿地分布及人群特征，并通过构建绿地时空享用量模型，从时空制约角度对成都市新、旧城区的绿地享用公平性展开分析。研究结果显示：1)成都市新、旧城区的绿地享用格局在辐射范围、享用强度和人群绿地享用时间预算方面具有时空间分异特征；2)日常出行链中固定性活动占比会对人群绿地享用时间预算产生影响；3)随个体时间预算不断被固定性活动所挤占，长距离通勤加班族、担负接送小孩上学的上班族等时间短缺型群体的绿地享用机会被深度制约，日益成为潜在的绿地享用弱势群体，在时间短缺型群体的潜在活动路径范围内增加绿地供给，有利于提高此类人群享用绿地的机会，从而提高片区的整体绿地享用公平性。     

以创新群为基础的自主创新战略研究

创新在时间和经济空间上具有群集特性。它发起于根本性的(自主)创新,并能够产生强烈的创新溢出效应。分析认为,将自主创新战略建立在创新群的基础上,培育以国家战略性技术为核心的自主创新群,能够将创新能力的内生性与外生性较好地结合在一起,有利于我们实现完全的自主创新。     

Endogenous structural change and crisis in a multiple time-scales growth model

The slow and endogenous twist of economic macro-structure makes up an important evolutionary feature of capitalist economies, and may be at the root of structural crisis. In this line, a Goodwinian growth model with increasing returns and profit-sharing that tries to picture a simple scenario of the seventies crisis is considered. It is shown that the exhaustion of the Kaldor-Verdoorn “productivity law” can entail, in a nonlinear framework, a “catastrophic” bifurcation from a “high” to a “low” growth path. Slow/fast dynamical systems then allow one to formalize a multiple time-scales dynamics where the growth path is shaped by the structural framework in which it takes place, but has also a long -un feedback. Structural change and crisis appear as long term and endogenous outcomes.