组织遗忘、组织即兴与环境动态性视角下企业原始性创新构建路径

原始性创新是企业获得核心竞争力的关键，但当前对企业如何获得原始性创新的研究严重不足。为此，以我国环渤海经济带179家高技术企业为样本，从组织遗忘和即兴角度研究原始性创新形成问题，并进一步分析环境动态性在组织遗忘和原始性创新间的作用。结果发现：组织遗忘和组织即兴对原始性创新具有积极效应；组织即兴在组织遗忘和原始性创新间发挥着部分中介作用；环境动态性对组织遗忘和原始性创新的关系具有正向调节效应。     

乡村旅游核心利益相关者协调发展评价研究——以青海省海东市互助土族自治县小庄村为例

文章基于利益相关者理论的视角，选取青海省海东市互助县小庄村为案例地，通过田野调查和文献梳理分析出核心利益相关者的利益诉求和矛盾冲突，并构建乡村旅游核心利益相关者协调发展评价体系，采用EWM-Fuzzy综合评价模型和灰色关联模型对地方政府、旅游企业、社区居民及外来游客四类核心利益相关者利益诉求的紧急程度、利益关系协调发展状态及整体协调发展关系进行测评分析。研究表明，小庄村四类核心利益相关者对不同利益诉求的整体感知较好，不同利益诉求的紧急程度和协调发展状态均存在如下较大差异:四类核心利益相关者的利益诉求主要处于中度协调和轻度协调两种发展状态，优质协调发展状态的利益诉求表现相对较少，且存在濒临失调发展状态的利益诉求表现；小庄村旅游核心利益相关者相互间的协调发展关系呈现出多元化的发展状态，地方政府、旅游企业同其他利益相关者的利益关系协调发展的影响大小顺序完全一致，地方政府、社区居民同其他利益相关者的利益关系协调发展的影响大小顺序相对应，而外来游客、社区居民同其他利益相关者的利益关系协调发展的影响大小顺序基本相反；小庄村旅游核心利益相关者协调发展路径组合未达到纳什均衡状态，其协调发展模式为非对称互惠协调发展模式。上述验证结果与小庄村旅游发展的实际情况基本吻合，证明了评价体系的科学性。     

高分1号冬小麦解译面积核算方法研究

[目的]以高分1号(GF-1)融合2m卫星遥感影像为基础数据源,结合土地利用现状数据、高分多源遥感影像和地面样方等数据,对冬小麦分类提取中存在的面积误差问题进行研究和分析。[方法]文章以河南省永城市为研究区,在冬小麦提取结果聚类处理基础上,基于线性地物缓冲区数据,采用GIS空间运算实现线性地物面积扣除,接着分析了样方数据和土地利用现状数据再扣除零星地物面积比例上的差异,并采用样方零星地物平均扣除系数对全市各乡镇耕地与非耕地中冬小麦提取面积进行了相关统计和误差分析。[结果]永城市冬小麦最终解译面积11. 29万hm~2,其中线性地物和零星地物扣除面积分别为6 613. 08hm~2和3 875. 22hm~2,占研究区冬小麦解译面积的5. 86%和3. 32%,与统计上报数据相比,其处理前后误差由14. 12%降低至4. 41%,有效地提高冬小麦提取面积精度。[结论]误差来源分析与修正对冬小麦解译面积核算精度具有重要影响,该研究为县级区域尺度下冬小麦面积提取核算提供了思路和借鉴。     

A Real Options Model of Real Estate Development with Entitlement Risk

Most development projects encounter a highly uncertain entitlement process that is largely uncontrollable by developers. In this study, entitlement is modeled as a separate stage within a compound real option, where developers begin with minimal control (maximum risk) and each successful stage increases control (decreases risk). We solve the model analytically, provide three‐dimensional numerical comparisons, and empirically test the model's predictions using hand collected rezoning petitions. Our main result refines the classic development option model: developers first invest early (secure entitlements) in order to obtain the option to subsequently delay investment (construct the optimal building at the optimal time).     

A Note on a Framework for Valuation Ratios Based on Fundamentals*

Valuation ratios divide stock price by accounting metrics such as earnings, earnings growth, and book value. This study adapts the general valuation framework in Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005) and Ohlson (2005) to present a unified approach for developing valuation ratios based on fundamentals, referred to as fundamental valuation ratios. One starts with a valuation model that is driven by an accounting metric a and its abnormal growth, then divides the valuation model by a to get a fundamental valuation ratio. For any valuation ratio, one can find a corresponding fundamental valuation ratio, as long as the valuation model is based on the same metric a as the valuation ratio denominator.     

Childhood adversity and the propensity for entrepreneurship: A quasi-experimental study of the Great Chinese Famine

Studies on the determinants of entrepreneurship emphasize that challenged adults tend to become entrepreneurs. However, research has not addressed the childhood origins surrounding the propensity for entrepreneurship. This article links childhood adversity to the propensity of individuals to become migrant entrepreneurs later in life. We test hypotheses derived from this theory in the context of whether, and when, children who survived the Great Chinese Famine of 1959–1961 became migrant entrepreneurs. Results strongly indicate that those who survived greater hardship during the Famine are more likely to become entrepreneurs, especially when they were younger during the famine years. We also find that being younger at the time of migration increased the likelihood of becoming entrepreneurs in their new locale. Overall, this study casts light on why, how and when childhood adversity shapes the propensity for entrepreneurship.     

北方县级海绵城市建设模式研究 ——以迁安海绵城市建设为例

我国北方缺水县级海绵城市建设的深入推进是实施海绵城市建设工作的重要内容,但目前我国北方缺水县级市的海绵城市建设工作还处于探索创新阶段.迁安依托海绵城市建设契机,在坚持政府主导、专家团队支持、社会资本运作、群众参与、发展区域产业优势等方面,首创了"一三一"模式,并取得了探索性经验,为其他北方缺水县级城市的海绵建设提供了有益启示和经验借鉴.     

棉花期货套期保值策略及其效率比较研究

选取中国全部六个交割月份棉花期货合约价格和中国棉花3128B价格指数作为研究对象,构建OLS,B-VAR,ECM和ECM-BGARCH四种模型来估算最优套期保值比率,并应用Ederington法评估套期保值的效率,分析中国棉花期货最佳的套保模型.结果表明,1月、5月、11月份合约的套期保值都能在一定程度上规避价格风险,其中OLS和B-VAR模型的效果最好,最后提出完善期货市场的建议.     

电子信息工程技术应用问题与改善策略研究

电子信息工程技术具有鲜明的现代化特点,其凭借自身极强的实用性已经被广泛应用于诸多领域之中,且正在发挥着至关重要的作用.但是在具体实施过程中,因为受到其他多方因素影响,使得电子信息工程技术还存在些许应用问题亟待解决,也正是因为这些限制的存在,使得电子信息工程技术的优势不能完全发挥出来.因此文章以下就电子信息工程技术的相关概念入手,结合其已经延展至的工作领域和在实际应用中遇到的问题,给予有效地解决之策,以期将其优势最大化释放,为社会发展略尽绵薄之力.     

An Empirical Analysis of Green Experiential Loyalty: A Case Study

The purpose of this study is to elaborate the structural relationships among the experiential quality dimensions, experiential trust, emotional attachment, experiential image, switching experience, experiential satisfaction, and experiential loyalty from the green perspective. The study findings are based on structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis of a convenience sample of 560 customers at one green restaurant in Taipei City, Taiwan. The findings show that investing resources in an increase in the experiential quality dimensions and a decrease in green switching experience is useful to enhance green experiential trust, green emotional attachment, green experiential image, green experiential satisfaction, and green experiential loyalty.