以游客满意度为基础的民俗旅游产品开发——模糊综合评价法

游客满意度的测评方法进行了概括和总结,在回顾以往研究经验的基础上选择了多层次模糊综合评价模型。根据模型设计出调查问卷,在湘西自治州进行实地调查,之后运用多层级模糊综合评价方法对问卷调查的数据进行计算,对湘西自治州民俗旅游开发的影响因子作出了相关评价,希望对当地民俗旅游开发起到一定的指导作用。     

民俗旅游产品的体验导向开发策略

针对我国民俗旅游市场的现状,提出一种新的民俗旅游产品开发规划思路——体验导向型开发模式。在界定游客体验和民俗旅游产品的基础上,通过打造核心体验产品、构筑完美体验环境和全面加强体验管理,提高游客的体验质量,实现旅游产品的经济效益和社会效益。     

民俗旅游及其开发实证解析——以浙江金华民俗旅游开发为例

民俗特色旅游是一种高层次的文化旅游,由于它满足了游客“求新、求异、求乐、求知”的心理需求,成为旅游行业中的重要内容之一。因此,对民俗文化特色的旅游开发进行研究已成为当今一个十分重要的课题。文章以浙江金华民俗旅游开发为例,结合金华民俗旅游资源探索民俗旅游资源开发的模式及其对策。     

民俗旅游资源综合价值评价研究——以重庆为例

本文针对民俗旅游资源综合价值评价的复杂性、模糊性等问题,采用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,以专家知识、主观经验和游客感知为基础,使定性分析与定量分析有效结合,提高了评价的准确性和客观性。以重庆民俗旅游资源综合价值评价为例,给出了民俗旅游资源综合价值评价的方法和依据。     

民俗旅游资源综合价值评价研究——以重庆为例

本文针对民俗旅游资源综合价值评价的复杂性、模糊性等问题,采用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,以专家知识、主观经验和游客感知为基础,使定性分析与定量分析有效结合,提高了评价的准确性和客观性.以重庆民俗旅游资源综合价值评价为例,给出了民俗旅游资源综合价值评价的方法和依据.     

天津经济型民俗旅游业发展研究——以古文化街旅游商贸区为例

经济型民俗旅游资源作为一种综合类的民俗旅游资源,囊括了民俗旅游资源中的众多类型,大多以民俗商贸区形式呈现。文章在分析天津的经济型民俗旅游资源的现状、涵盖类型的基础上,得出：天津的民俗旅游资源十分丰富,为综合类的经济型民俗旅游资源的形成奠定了坚实的基础。并选择最具代表性的个案“津门故里”作实地调研,分析天津经济型民俗旅游业发展存在的问题,提出天津经济型民俗旅游业的发展建议：在保持原有民俗基础上,设计开发多种类型的民俗旅游项目;满足游客审美需求,开发优质、独特、新颖的民俗旅游纪念品;提高从业人员服务意识;打造品牌,提升城市形象;抓好民俗旅游资源的保护。     

民俗文化村景区的困境与出路

深圳民俗文化村景区现状存在旅游项目单一、游客停留时间短、等一些制约因素,而民俗旅游以它独特的吸引力,游客参与性强等优势恰恰可以改变这些现状。因此,我们应该正确认识和挖掘深圳民俗文化村景区民俗文化的特色,因地制宜,结合本地区和周边地区的旅游资源,合理、科学地开发和利用深圳地区的民俗旅游资源,大力发展民俗旅游业,从而促进深圳民俗文化村景区旅游业的进一步发展。     

民俗文化村景区的困境与出路

深圳民俗文化村景区现状存在旅游项目单一、游客停留时间短、等一些制约因素,而民俗旅游以它独特的吸引力,游客参与性强等优势恰恰可以改变这些现状。因此,我们应该正确认识和挖掘深圳民俗文化村景区民俗文化的特色,因地制宜,结合本地区和周边地区的旅游资源,合理、科学地开发和利用深圳地区的民俗旅游资源,大力发展民俗旅游业,从而促进深圳民俗文化村景区旅游业的进一步发展。     

国内游客满意度研究进展

对国内游客满意度的文献进行梳理,就国内学者研究重点进行总结。并从游客满意度测评和游客满意度影响因素两个方面对国内游客满意度的文献展开描述。国内研究还存在一些不足的地方,未来需要进一步深入研究,形成充实的游客满意度理论体系。     

生态观光旅游:游客满意度及重游意愿——基于苏州未来农林大世界的调查分析

生态观光旅游是以保护自然生态环境为基础、开发生态旅游资源为重点的新型产业。针对游客的满意度进行细分,从各个层面考察游客的满意度,以及对影响游客满意度的因素进行分析,建立Logistic模型分析影响游客是否重游的因素,主要包括满意度和人口统计学特征两个方面。实证结果显示:距离远近、自然景观满意度、观光路线满意度、交通满意度、居住地、职业、收入都对游客的重游意愿具有显著影响。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Interest on reserves and inflation

The payment of interest on reserves has been a common practice in inflationary economies. This policy may seem paradoxical since it involves returning part of the seigniorage, generated by the inflation process, with the intention to finance the fiscal deficit. This paper argues that the motivation for this policy can be captured by the discretionary regime, where the policymaker pays interest on reserves because he is concerned with the erosion of real liquidity by inflation, which is in part beyond his control. However, this policy is an unlikely outcome in the commitment regime, where the policymaker is in full control of inflation.     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.