我国物流企业战略性并购的目标企业选择与决策研究

物流振兴规划的出台,倡导物流业的并购与重组.物流企业战略性并购将是我国物流业产业结构优化和物流资源配置的一种重要方式.而目标企业的选择是战略性并购的关键环节之一,关系到并购的成功与否.基于此,本文结合物流业发展情况就战略性并购中目标企业的选择流程、原则及评价指标体系进行了研究,并建立了目标企业选择与决策的AHP分析评价模型的指标体系.     

看大象的舞蹈——微软与雅虎的并购博弈

本文对微软与雅虎的并购事件进行了动态博弈分析,由此窥见成熟企业并购的必要程序和理性选择.本文在结合多年来国内企业并购实情的基础上,通过比较,试图为我国企业的并购决策提供一些有益的借鉴.     

中国上市公司跨国并购经营绩效研究——基于EVA模型

本文选取2000 ～ 2009年我国沪深上市公司作为并购方成功发生跨国并购的37起并购事件为样本,利用会计数据,分别计算并购前后两年间各个企业的EVA值,并进行EVA值变化趋势分析,发现跨国并购并没有明显改善上市公司的经营绩效,反而损害了经营绩效.同时,对跨国并购企业进行行业分类讨论后发现,不同行业的跨国并购经营绩效有所不同.电子制造及信息技术类企业跨国并购后的经营绩效相对并购前显著下降,其他行业的经营绩效变化不显著.     

基于DHS模型的中国上市公司连续并购的短期反应研究

本文从上市公司的连续并购行为出发对DHS市场反应模型加以修正,并以2000—2009年我国所发生的并购事件为样本对理论模型进行检验,从而实证研究了中国资本市场对于上市公司连续并购行为的短期反应。     

基于财务指标的上市公司战略并购效率的实证分析

近年来企业并购逐渐频繁,且并购规模逐渐加大。几经变化的中国市场开始了更多的以产业整合为核心、价值创造为动机的战略性并购。国内外学者对战略并购效率的研究采取的样本多数在股制改革之前,本文从2006年发生的并购事件中抽取一定量的样本,从横向并购、纵向并购和混合并购三大类出发,以财务指标为基础,采用主成分分析法构建综合评价函数对上市公司的并购效率进行实证分析。结果表明：就短期绩效而言,三者的并购绩效均不理想,短期内绩效都有所下降,但纵向并购和混合并购的绩效优于横向并购;就长期绩效而言,并购后第二年横向并购绩效果最佳;纵向并购绩效次之;混合并购绩效不但没有提升,甚至还有恶化趋势;并购后第三年纵向并购的绩效继续上升,横向并购绩效下滑。     

万达集团并购美国AMC公司的影响因素研究

随着全球经济一体化进程的加快以及中国经济的快速发展,越来越多的中国企业都在实施跨国并购战略来提高竞争力、获取全球要素、拓展国际市场.然而中国企业在跨国并购的过程中却会遇到各种各样的问题,难以取得理想的绩效.万达集团并购美国AMC影院公司是我国民营企业在文化产业上的大规模并购,属于跨国跨行业的并购,引起全球瞩目,影响深远.并购事件发生两年以来,AMC影院公司转亏为盈,而万达集团也成了全球规模最大的电影院线运营商,其中原因值得探究.在归纳总结前人研究成果的基础上,笔者以该起并购事件为例,对此次跨国并购的影响因素进行研究,从而给国内民营企业跨国并购提供借鉴,以期提高我国民营企业跨国并购的成功率.     

中国企业海外并购失败了吗?

本文运用市场模型、FF3FM模型和事件研究的基本方法评估1994—2009年中国157个企业海外并购事件的短期和中长期绩效。结果显示,尽管外界对海外并购绩效看法各异,中国企业海外并购事件公告日的市场绩效明显为正,反映了市场对中国企业海外并购的正面评价。从中长期的角度上看,中国企业海外并购整体上取得了非负的超常回报率(Abnormal return),体现了政府"走出去"战略的胜利开局。考虑到行业绩效差异,本文运用Fix-to-fix控制组的方法对并购中长期绩效的决定性因素进行了多元回归分析,结果显示海外并购受益于人民币升值,国有企业的并购绩效明显差于民营企业,中国海外上市公司的绩效优于内地上市的公司。     

基于因子分析的上市公司并购绩效差量评价

以2003至2008年我国沪、深A股市场发生并购的上市公司为样本,使用会计指标研究法,在基于因子分析法构建并购绩效综合评价模型得到并购公司综合业绩得分的基础上,对其并购前后业绩变化的差量进行了独立样本T检验。研究结果表明,并购事件宣告当年,上市公司业绩与并购前一年相比有所改善;但是在并购完成后的第1~4年,上市公司业绩并没有得到改善,上市公司并购绩效有待于进一步优化。     

我国上市公司并购绩效的经验与实证分析

本文以2003-2008年沪、深股市发生并购事件的上市公司为研究样本,采用因子分析法对中国上市公司并购事件发生前三年和并购后五年的经营业绩水平做了分析,研究结果表明:长期而言,目前我国上市公司并购是无效率的,没有实现并购双方资源整合和创造价值的效果;进一步采用多元回归模型对上市公司并购绩效的影响因素进行实证分析.实证结果表明:关联方交易使收购公司并购后长期绩效得以改善,目标公司并购前财务风险越大对收购公司并购后长期绩效有加剧恶化的作用.同时,目标公司并购前的固定资产盈利能力和主营业务水平对收购公司并购后绩效均有显著影响.     

市场估值和过度自信对并购绩效的实证研究

运用事件研究法,以2003—2011年中国的上市公司为样本,针对市场估值和管理者过度自信的相互作用对并购绩效的影响进行多元回归分析。结果发现：不同于过度自信管理者,理性管理者在高估和低估价值时期进行的并购活动都能带来正的超额收益。     

我国房地产税制的现状及改革构想

房地产税制是维护房地产市场公平竞争，实现国家对房地产业宏观调控的有力杠杆。然而，我国现行的房地产税制却存在税费不分、税制不统一、税制结构不合理等诸多问题。严重影响了其对房地产业应有的宏观调控作用。因此，适时地推进房地产税制的改革应是当务之急，应统一内外税制，合理界定税费的范围，建立统一、规范、合理的房地产税收体系。     

Public participation in forestry in Turkey

Recently public participation in forestry has been seriously considered in Turkey. Participation is however quite a challenge for a country with a long tradition of top-down management and a strong bottom-up dependence on public provisioning. In such a setting, it may not be surprising that the experiences with public participation in forestry in Turkey are mixed. There are some positive initiatives like the creation of farmer's cooperatives and NGOs, but their role is quite limited and small of scale. This paper is bringing together different views based on existing studies in Turkish related to Turkey's experience with implementing public participation in forestry.     

The Change in Productive Efficiency in Telecommunications in the United States

The question addressed here is whether the adoption of incentive regulation, which has become an important regulatory tool in the telecommunications industry in the USA, has resulted in a change in the technical efficiency of local exchange carriers in the USA. After providing an overview of the nature of incentive regulation, a methodology for measuring technical efficiency and its change is introduced. This is a multiple-output/multiple-input distance function approach to measuring technical efficiency. The results of implementing this approach for 19 local exchange carriers for the 1988–2001 period indicate that in the production of local service, intrastate toll/access service, and interstate access to local loops, there was no change in technical efficiency between the 1988–1990 period and the 1991–2001 period, something that incentive regulation was specifically designed to promote.     

The Change in Productive Efficiency in Telecommunications in the United States

The question addressed here is whether the adoption of incentive regulation, which has become an important regulatory tool in the telecommunications industry in the USA, has resulted in a change in the technical efficiency of local exchange carriers in the USA. After providing an overview of the nature of incentive regulation, a methodology for measuring technical efficiency and its change is introduced. This is a multiple-output/multiple-input distance function approach to measuring technical efficiency. The results of implementing this approach for 19 local exchange carriers for the 1988-2001 period indicate that in the production of local service, intrastate toll/access service, and interstate access to local loops, there was no change in technical efficiency between the 1988-1990 period and the 1991- 2001 period, something that incentive regulation was specifically designed to promote.     

Payment Systems in Countries in Transition

MOCT-MOST: Economic Policy in Transitional Economies -     

Inequalities in Income Distribution in Slovenia

This article presents an empirical analysis of income distribution based on income tax data for Slovenia in 1991-2000. It presents evidence of rising inequalities in income distribution (gross income, gross wages and pensions). These results are supported by coefficients of variation, Gini coefficients and by the Lorenz curves. Inequalities increased rapidly in the 1991 to 1993 period. After a significant decrease in 1994 and a steady increase from 1995 to 2000, the peak value from 1993 was not surpassed. Atkinson's requirements for dominance comparisons are not violated. Inequalities are also present in the distribution of the benefits of economic growth among income groups.     

上海生态农业发展影响因素研究

文章分析了上海生态农业发展的影响因素,并利用计量模型进行检验,认为影响上海生态农业发展的主要因素有农业基础设施、农业劳动力资源、农业产业化水平、农业科技实力状况。     

Age Discrimination in Employment in Canada

Issues pertaining to age discrimination in employment in Canada are analyzed with a view toward highlighting lessons that may be learned from the Canadian experience—an experience that is taking on increased policy importance. Reasons for the increased attention to age discrimination issues are outlined, followed by a portrayal of the age discrimination legislation and court interpretations in Canada, especially as they pertain to mandatory retirement. Enforcement aspects are discussed, as is the evidence on age discrimination in employment and the effectiveness of legislation with respect to age discrimination and mandatory retirement. The article concludes with a discussion of the lessons to be learned from the Canadian experience, especially with respect to the poorly understood but complicated relationship between age discrimination and mandatory retirement. Policy recommendations for strengthening age discrimination legislation are also outlined. (JEL J14 , J24 , J71 )