Do funds selected by managers’ skills perform better?

We construct a simple intuitive rating mechanism to evaluate stock picking and market timing skills of equity and hybrid equity fund managers in China. We find that both our skill-rated 5-star (SR-5S) fund and the Morningstar 5-star (MS-5S) fund portfolios outperform the market. The SR-5S fund portfolio outperforms its counterpart MS-5S portfolio in most situations, depending on whether portfolio performance is measured by the abnormal returns of the CAPM model, the Fama-French three-factor (FF3) model, the Carhart four-factor (CH4) model and the Fama-French five-factor (FF5) model. Both market timing skill and stock picking skill affect the performance difference between the SR-5S fund and MS-5S fund portfolios. Additionally, the departure of a SR-5S or MS-5S fund manager is associated with fund performance declines, and the declines in performance for SR-5S funds are generally larger than the declines for the MS-5S funds.     

When fund management skill is more valuable?

Does fund management skill allow managers to identify mispriced securities more accurately and thereby make better portfolio choices resulting in superior fund performance when noise trading – a natural setting to detect skill – is more prevalent? We find skilled fund managers with superior past performance to generate persistent excess risk‐adjusted returns and experience significant capital inflows, especially in high sentiment times, high stock dispersion, and economic expansion states when price signals are noisier. This pattern persists after we control for lucky bias, using the ‘false discovery rate’ approach, which permits disentangling manager ‘skill’ from ‘luck.’     

What determines fund performance persistence? International evidence

We study performance persistence across a global sample of equity mutual funds from 27 countries. In contrast to the existing U.S.‐based evidence, we find that net performance persistence is present in the majority of fund industries, suggesting that fund manager skill is commonplace rather than a rarity. Consistent with the intuition that more competition in the mutual fund industry makes remaining a winner fund less likely but keeping a loser fund at the bottom of the performance ranks more probable, we show that competitiveness explains the cross‐sectional variation in performance persistence.     

What do mutual fund managers’ private portfolios tell us about their skills?

I study a registry-based dataset of Swedish mutual fund managers’ personal portfolios. The majority of managers do not invest personal wealth into the very same funds they professionally manage. The managers who do invest personal money into their funds subsequently outperform the managers who do not. The results suggest that fund managers, in contrast to regular investors, are certain about their ability to generate an abnormal return, or lack thereof, and invest their personal wealth accordingly.     

Pension fund manager skills over the economic cycle: the (non-)specialization cost

We study whether pension fund managers, as professionals of important social and financial products, are able to add value for their clients and adapt to economic changes. To this end, we analyze the performance and skills (market timing and stock picking) over the economic cycle from both pension fund and manager perspectives. This double analysis allows examining whether skills reside in managers and/or funds and control for manager substitutions. Despite the long-term nature of pension funds, we find that both fund and manager skills vary with market conditions, showing better evidence of stock-picking in booms, and of market timing in recessions. Nonetheless, top (bottom) funds and managers exhibit both (incorrect) skills in booms and in recessions. Some of the top (bottom) funds and managers are the best (worst) in both abilities in the same periods, but not in different periods, showing that not all managers have the ability to adapt to market conditions. Additionally, managers with limited skills tend to specialize because diversification requires multi-task skills and the non-specialization of these managers usually results in incorrect skills.     

Performance attribution of mutual funds in India: outperformance or mis‐representation?

We conduct a novel holdings‐based performance attribution, particularly suited to emerging markets, for equity‐oriented active mutual funds in India. Although, we find significantly positive alphas for an average fund, the stated benchmarks are grossly mis‐specified. A style‐adjusted benchmark could beat the stated benchmarks by greater margins than the funds themselves. While funds’ trading activity consistently adds value, cash drag and market timing usually diminish value. Although, the best‐performing funds exhibit superior security selection abilities, their outperformance does not persist. However, despite the lack of persistence winner funds continue to generate significantly higher alphas than loser funds for quite some time.     

香港保本基金的发展与启示

本文通过考察香港保本基金的销售情况与风险收益特征,总结其投资方案与运作模式,揭示其发展情况与股市的关系,对发展我国保本基金有若干启示.     

美国稳定价值基金探讨

稳定价值基金（Stable Value Fund）通过保证本金和累计利息达到避免净值波动和收益稳定的投资目标，实现货币市场基金高流动性和债券基金更高收益的最佳组合，为投资者提供稳定的投资价值。本文介绍了美国稳定价值基金的发展概况，分析了其运作机制、核心优势及其发展的历史原因，并对稳定价值基金与保本基金做了比较。     

论我国开放式证券投资基金的发展

发展证券投资基金对于规范证券市场具有重要意义，但封闭式证券投资基金在运作过程中也出现了许多问题。目前我国开放式证券投资基金即将推出，本文从对封闭工基金存在问题进行探讨的角度出发，分析了开放式证券投资基金的优势，提出了正确认识我国开放式基金在发行规模、投资风险、投资理念、市场运作等方面的局限性，并就完善基金立法、建立规范的金融监管体系、制定正确的开放式基金发展步骤、加强理论研究和基金人才培养以及完善证券市场创造基金发展的良好环境等方面提出了基本构想。     

Is There a Favoritism Strategy in Taiwan Mutual-Fund Companies?

This paper investigates whether Taiwan mutual-fund companies actively pursue a corporate-level strategy of enhancing the performance of "high-value" funds (i.e., high fee-ratio funds or high past performers) at the expense of other "low-value" funds belonging to the same companies. The results show a significant difference between high- and low-value funds within the same fund families and that this difference favors the high past-perorming funds. The future incremental cash inflows from these high-value funds indicate that fund companies indeed benefit from the subsidized strategy. Our findings highlight the potential for agency problems and the importance of corporate and fund governance in the Taiwan asset-management industry.     

全球行业基金发展状况报告

近年来，国内基金已基本形成了类似国外较齐全的基金产品线。在现有法律框架下，国内基金可以创新的方向将进一步从原来的概念准绳，大统化向品种细分化、市场细分化的方向发展。行业基金在国外已经比较成熟，并且得到比较大的认同度，无疑是我国基金品种研发和发展的重要方向之一，本文基于全球视野，对行业基金的发展历史、特征、分布、策略等领域进行调查研究，以期对国内行业基金的发展提供比较有价值的参考。     

对我国私募基金的思考

目前 ,私募基金已成为我国证券市场的热点。由于其自身的特点 ,使之在我国的产生有其必然性。本文拟从以下四个方面对我国私募基金的有关问题做初步探讨 :一是私募基金及其运作优势 ;二是私募基金在我国产生的客观背景 ;三是私募基金的发展对证券市场的意义 ;四是我国私募基金的设立模式及制度安排     

推动我国私募基金健康成长的几点思考

私募基金在我国证券市场上的存在已是不争的事实,因其符合供给与需求的均衡点、对我国经济既好又快发展的积极作用、符合国际资本运行的惯例,因此,我国应允许私募基金的存在。当然,由于私募基金存在着风险大、需监管力度大、多层次资本市场不发达、交易不活跃等问题和缺陷,应通过制定和完善与私募基金有关的法规和政策,采取加强对私募基金的监管力度、发展多层次资本市场、努力提高证券市场的活跃程度等措施,推动我国私募基金健康成长。     

商业银行基金销售业务发展策略探究

近几年来,伴随着国内基金业的蓬勃发展,商业银行基金销售业务异军突起,推动中国内地银行业的金融服务向客户细分、理财规划等方面深度发展。本文介绍了国内基金业七年多的发展情况、成长路径及基本特征,探讨了在连续三年行业井喷式成长后,在资本市场制度变革、社会保障体系改革和商业银行介入资产管理业务等一系列因素影响下,中国内地基金销售市场所面临的挑战与机遇,并进一步从提高业务管理能力、改善利润结构和培育核心客户等方面讨论了商业银行大力发展基金销售业务的重要意义,以及在新形势下商业银行做好基金销售业务的几点思路。     

投资者的选择与基金溢出效应研究

本文着重研究基金家族中明星基金对家族内部基金的溢出效应,即明星基金对基金资金流入增长率的影响。对中国证券市场54家基金家族管理的281只开放式偏股型基金的面板分析发现,拥有明星基金能够显著提高基金家族的新基金流入的增长比例,但拥有垃圾基金并不能显著地减少;明星基金比非明星基金能给自身吸引来更多的新资金,明星基金家族的非明星基金与非明星家族的基金相比没能被笼罩在这样的优质光环下。     

不同基金持股与股票波动性分解组分关系的实证研究

本文从2004年到2006年第一季度的重仓股中选取259只典型重仓股,利用从1999年到2006年第一季度的财务及交易数据,采用Panel Data方法中的FE模型对开放基金和封闭基金持股与股票的系统波动及个别波动之间的关系进行了分析,得出开放基金比封闭基金更利于稳定股票的系统波动,而对个别波动,开放和封闭基金都既不会降低,也没有扩大的结论,最后为基金业的发展提出了一些建议。     

Are There Hot Hands Among Mutual Fund Houses in Hong Kong?

This paper examines the short-term performance persistence of thirty-two fund houses in Hong Kong during January 1986 to December 1995. We compute fund house returns using averages of all equity funds in each house. Then we evaluate their hot hand performance using the median return as benchmark on a rolling monthly basis. The results show that there were only two 'hot hand' fund houses. Findings using annual returns confirm the non-existence of a hot hand phenomenon. However, we find a strong correlation between conditional and unconditional probabilities of winning repeatedly in consecutive months     

公司型基金:中国基金业发展的战略选择

公司型基金现已成为世界基金组织模式的主流形式，而我国到目前为止全是单一的契约型基金。相对于契约型基金的固有缺陷而言，公司型基金有契约型基金无可比拟的制度优势。基于此，公司型基金应该成为我国未来基金业发展的主要政策取向。为此，必须在法律上明确界定公司型基金的法律性质以及处理好公司型基金与契约型基金的税负均衡问题。     

市场竞争的基金治理效应:理论假说与实证检验

论文首先提出了"市场竞争的基金治理效应假说",在此基础上论文以开放式基金为例对我国基金层面的市场竞争结构进行了考察,发现我国基金业存在大基金垄断和一定程度的过度竞争并存的问题;进一步,论文首次给出了衡量基金治理效率的指标体系,并通过实证检验证实了治理效应假说存在,即市场竞争结构对基金治理具有显著影响。     

我国基金公司内部封闭式基金对开放式基金的补贴研究

由于封闭式基金与开放式基金的差异,基金公司倾向于补贴开放式基金而侵害封闭式基金的利益。经验证据表明,我国基金公司确实存在封闭式基金对开放式基金的补贴行为。论文进而构建了一个封闭式基金对开放式基金补贴模型,指出投资者偏好、市场预期的开放式基金销售量、激励机制、基金公司自身的管理能力是影响补贴行为的重要因素,并讨论了如何进行防范。