基于组态视角的众创空间创客集聚机制研究

以江苏省383家众创空间为样本，应用组态思维和QCA方法整合资源与服务两个层面的6个条件，探讨形成众创空间创客集聚差异的多重并发和复杂机理。结果发现：①众创空间高创客集聚存在服务主导型、场地-创客教育主导型、全要素型3个组态，其中，服务主导型、场地-创客教育主导型能深层次、强有力地影响众创空间高创客集聚；②众创空间非高创客集聚存在单纯地产式、单纯线下投资促进、单纯线上投资促进3种组态，且对众创空间非高创客集聚的影响基本相当；③资金资源不充足、场地资源不充足与人员服务不充足在解释非高创客集聚时具有替代作用。     

A Multicriteria Approach for Modeling Small Enterprise Credit Rating: Evidence from China

ABSTRACT

As the engine of China’s economy, small enterprises have been the central to the country’s economic development. However, given the characteristics of the small enterprises loan (i.e., short borrowing period, large volume, small amount and incomplete information), it is extremely challenging for financial institutions to assess their creditworthiness. Thus, it seriously delays and restricts the financing access for small enterprises. In an attempt to relieve the financing difficulty of small enterprises, this article makes use of 687 small wholesale and retail enterprises in a regional commercial bank in China, to establish a credit rating indicator system composed of 17 indicators by using both partial correlation analysis and probit regression. It then utilizes TOPSIS together with fuzzy C-means to score the credit ratings of our sample of small enterprises. With the dual test of default discrimination and ROC curve, the prediction accuracy of the established indicator system has reached 80.10% and 0.917, respectively, indicating the robustness and validity of our credit rating system.     

Corporate Social Responsibility,Firm Value and Corporate Governance Code Revisions: The Asian Evidence*

The present study examines the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and firm value, and the effects of corporate governance code revisions on the relationship. We examine this relationship for: (i) a high‐income country, Japan; (ii) middle‐income countries China, Malaysia and Thailand; and (iii) low‐income countries India and Indonesia. We use the Heckman two‐stage sample selection bias approach for the empirical analysis. We find that Japanese stakeholder CSR and environmental CSR have a smaller positive effect on firm value compared to the middle‐income countries, but we do not find any statistically significant association for the low‐income countries. In addition, we find that only Japanese corporate governance code revisions significantly contribute to the positive relationship between CSR and firm value, which concurs with the new recommendations documented in the revised codes of corporate governance. The present study reveals that foreign major shareholders matter to the value creation of CSR in Japan and the middle‐income countries of China, Malaysia and Thailand.     

对中国经济改革与发展的国际评价

本文结合中国改革开放的历程和国际发展实践的变化,以及近年来中国参与国际财经合作的过程,回顾了国际社会对中国改革和发展的看法的演变,介绍了中国入世后国际舆论的最新动态,由此得出了对内深化改革、对外有效协调国际经济利益关系的重要启示.     

投放CCTV-1黄金剧场的N个理由

理由一：观众喜爱电视剧电视剧是全国电视媒体播出和收看的重中之重，省级卫视、地面频道的电视剧占收视比重超过50%（据CTR）。中央电视台电视剧的收视比重也占到了25．8％（据CSM），是观众收看最多的节目类型。电视剧成为企业广告传播不可或缺的资源。     

Chinese relationship management: a qualitative study of banking in New Zealand

This study investigates the relational factors and motivations of Chinese migrant consumers towards financial service providers in New Zealand. Using convergent interviews, a deeper understanding is developed of immigrants’ relational behaviour with service providers. These relationships with service providers are significantly influenced by traditional Chinese values and guanxi and relational embeddedness plays an important role in how they are developed. The research contributes a better understanding of the interplay between Eastern and Western cultures in service relationships among immigrant groups. A general theory of the Chinese perspective of customer relationship management is developed. The implications for how marketing practitioners manage their relationships with migrant customers are explored.     

新型城镇化背景下农业人口转化的财政金融对策研究

党的十八大后,党和国家将新型城镇化建设作为推动我国经济和社会发展的重要战略部署。新型城镇化的核心是农业人口的有效转化。农业人口有效转化涉及方方面面的问题,文章以我国城镇化现状为出发点,对我国农村人口转化的现状和特点进行分析,梳理城乡分隔体制下农民身份固化问题对经济社会的不利影响,重点研究农业人口有序转化的财政金融体制障碍和现实需求。在此基础上,提出:改革城乡分隔的财政体制,建立统一的社会保障体系;加大公共财政的财力安排,支持或引导建立服务中小微企业发展的金融体系和社会化服务体系;制定信贷政策,加大信贷资金投入;加大城镇居民住房建设支持力度;满足新型城镇居民的多元化金融服务需求。     

气候变化背景下哈萨克斯坦气候生产潜力时空特征分析

[目的]研究全球气候变化背景下气候生产潜力的时空分布特征,对于合理利用农业气候资源,促进农业生产力的提高具有重要意义。[方法]选择1901—2000年哈萨克斯坦24个代表气象站点的月平均气温和降水资料,采用Thortwaite Memorial、Miami模型估算气候生产潜力,并运用气候倾向率、M-K检验以及ArcGIS空间插值等方法对气候生产潜力时空分布特征进行分析。[结果](1)1901—2000年哈萨克斯坦气候生产潜力总体表现为增长趋势,不同时段气候生产潜力差异明显,相对于其他研究时段(T1,T3),T2(1936—1970年)时段气候生产潜力及增长速率最大,并且水热匹配状况最好;(2)哈萨克斯坦气候生产潜力空间分布地域性明显。YP(降水生产潜力)和Y E(蒸散生产潜力)总体表现为自东南向西北递减的趋势,YT(气温生产潜力)表现为自西南向东北递减的趋势,气候生产潜力高值区主要位于天山北麓及东部山区的河谷地带,低值区位于西部和南部荒漠区;(3)气候生产潜力对降水更为敏感,当气温保持不变,降水量增加(减少)10%、20%,YE将增加(减少)9.6%、19.94%。[结论]哈萨克斯坦东部气候生产潜力大于西部,天山北麓及河谷地区气候生产潜力大于平原地区,哈萨克斯坦气候生产潜力主要受降水量的制约,未来“暖干型”变化将会使研究区气候生产潜力下降。为提高农业生产潜力,必须加强对农业基础设施的建设和提高水资源的调配能力。     

金融结构对技术创新效率的影响效应 ——不同金融发展模式对比分析

以技术创新阶段细分为研究基点，利用2009—2018年省级面板数据，构建超越对数随机前沿分析模型，实证检验技术研发阶段和创新市场化阶段不同金融发展模式下金融结构对创新产出与技术创新效率的影响效应。结果发现：在创新增量方面，银行体系发展对创新产出的正向激励效应显著优于股票市场发展，银行主导型金融结构对创新产出发挥着重要支撑作用。在创新增效方面，股票市场发展对技术创新效率的正向激励效应尤为显著，银行体系发展对技术创新效率产生抑制效应，造成较大程度的技术效率损失。结果表明，技术创新量高多产、提质增效依赖于金融结构持续优化和金融发展模式优势互补。     

Do constraints created by economic growth targets benefit sustainable development? Evidence from China

An economic growth target is a declaration by policy authorities of commitment to that target and the corresponding allocation of resources. The constraints created by economic growth target are an important economic management method in China, which has helped China's economy to achieve remarkable achievements. However, it has also brought about serious environmental problems, threatening China's sustainable development. Using the data about economic growth targets in the work reports of 30 Chinese provincial governments from 2006 to 2017, this paper constructs several spatial measurement methods, such as the spatial Durbin model, to examine the constraints created by economic growth target's impacts on air pollution. The main conclusions are as follows. First, a significant “U-shaped” relationship exists between the constraints created by economic growth targets and air pollution. Second, the spatial Durbin model analysis revealed that PM_2.5 across China's provinces display significant positive spatial spillover effects and spatial agglomeration characteristics. Third, the direct, indirect, and total effects of constraints created by economic growth targets on air pollution are all statistically significant and depict a “U shape.” Finally, the constraints created by economic growth targets have an apparent threshold effect on air pollution, and the inhibiting effects increase with human capital and industrial restructuring. However, with the increase in foreign direct investments, constraints created by economic growth targets may increase air pollution. The conclusions of this paper are of great significance for improving the management of local government economic growth targets and sustainable development.