中国邮轮休闲旅游市场产品开发问题研究

中国邮轮旅游市场是典型的供给驱动型市场。在产业快速发展的上升期,中国邮轮休闲旅游市场日趋繁盛,但在产品供给中也逐渐暴露出游客认可度不高、部分航次叫好不叫座等负面问题。鉴于此,中国邮轮旅游产品开发应该遵循市场、经济、特色与合理原则,并在此基础上采取相应的邮轮旅游产品开发及优化策略。     

中国高等院校建立校企人才培养联盟的必要性分析——以中国高等院校邮轮人才培养联盟为例

目前,校企共建人才培养联盟已经成为高等院校校企合作的新形式,并在浙江、上海、山东等地高校中不断涌现,中国高等院校邮轮人才培养联盟也在这一形式下应运而生。邮轮产业作为全球休闲旅游产业中增长速度最快的新兴产业,自20世纪80年代至今,一直保持着年均8%左右的增长速度。近年来,随着欧洲、北美市场的日趋饱和,亚洲和中国市场成为邮轮产业的新增长点。按照世界豪华邮轮公司员工与游客1:3甚至1:1的配备比例,一般每艘豪华邮轮要配备800—2000名员工,加之邮轮产业战略东移,世界各大邮轮公司更倾向于在中国地区招募雇员。为满足地区邮轮业发展的需求,整合邮轮人才培养资源,中国高校成立邮轮人才培养联盟势在必行。     

中日韩邮轮旅游产业发展研究

本文对日本、韩国和中国的邮轮旅游产业政策进行比较,从完善邮轮旅游产业链、港口基础设施建设、邮轮旅游线路开发及相关组织建设方面指出了目前我国邮轮旅游产业存在的问题。提出我国政府在宏观调控邮轮港建设、给予相关优惠政策、细分市场开发新项目、积极开展工作旅游项目开发及组织建设方面促进邮轮旅游产业的发展。     

上海邮轮旅游市场开发的对策研究

本文首先对上海邮轮旅游的发展现状进行了研究,然后运用SOWT理论分析了上海发展邮轮旅游的优劣势、机遇及威胁.最后本文提出了上海邮轮旅游市场开发的目标定位战略,并针对上海发展邮轮旅游的现状及具体的问题提出了未来市场发展的建议.     

易小力： 邮轮经济对广东旅游具突破作用

中国邮轮市场越来越受到国内外旅游业界的重视,邮轮游正成为中国白领阶层新的休闲度假方式。到目前为止,中国已有十六个城市接待过国际豪华邮轮,上海、厦门、三亚三个国际邮轮中心投入使用。广东省是旅游大省,在全国旅游业格局中占有重要地位。但是,珠三角地区旅游总体形象不鲜明、缺乏科学规划和核心竞争力等问题已成为制约该地区旅游业发展的瓶颈。     

上海港“国客中心”保税仓库多元化业务发展探讨

随着邮轮、游艇等水上旅游产业的不断发展,尤其是邮轮旅游在整个旅游产业中的比例有突破性的增长,上海港国际客运中心开发有限公司(以下简称:“国客中心”)积极响应并加速推进上海国际航运中心和中国(上海)自由贸易试验区建设的整体战略.对接自贸区相关政策,依托邮轮发展主业,通过保税仓库这一桥梁,努力实现公司“水上旅游产业综合运营商”和“上海城市滨水时尚新地标”的战略愿景.本文主要是针对国客中心保税仓库业务进行探讨.     

邮轮旅游高职教育国际化发展现状及对策研究

教育国际化是培养国际化邮轮人才的迫切需求,也是邮轮高职教育面临的重要挑战。依据教育国际化的客观规律和邮轮旅游高职教育的现实状况,提出邮轮旅游高职教育国际化发展战略及其在课程体系、外语教学、师资队伍、合作办学等方面的实施途径,以更好地开拓邮轮旅游教育服务市场,促进邮轮旅游产业的国际化发展。     

嘉年华邮轮的中国生意

嘉年华首席执行官阿诺德·唐纳德表示,对于亚洲区域这个邮轮旅游新兴市场来说,消费者对邮轮旅游的需求在呈现多元化的发展。两年内,中国邮轮旅游的游客能够达到200万人。嘉年华将继续与中国政府官员合作,帮助他们将中国变成全球最重要的邮轮市场之一。     

中国发展露营旅游的思考

露营旅游是一种休闲活动。随着中国经济的持续快速发展和旅游个性化需求的增长,新兴旅游市场正呈迅猛发展态势,露营旅游在全国方兴未艾,正逐步成为中国旅游产业发展的新业态。阐释了露营旅游的内涵,归纳出露营旅游的类型,分析了目前中国露营旅游的发展现状和存在问题,并对开发露营旅游市场提出了建议。     

中国港口城市邮轮产业竞争力测度——兼论三亚邮轮产业发展

邮轮产业作为现代度假经济、体验经济的高端部分,其发展水平和竞争力成为了港口城市提升其品位和品牌价值大小的重要标志.为了寻找中国港口城市邮轮产业竞争力的来源,从需求、供给和市场要素三个方面选取指标构建了邮轮产业竞争力评价指标体系,利用因子分析法对上海、深圳等7个港口城市的横截面数据进行了分析,结论显示:影响邮轮产业发展的五个主因子,分别是:入境旅游发展的历史积累、旅游业供给能力、未来发展能力、金融机构发达程度和本地区的邮轮需求情况.在此基础上对三亚邮轮发展给出了相应建议.     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for Reality Mining

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Neurally reconstructing expected utility

While the concept of “expected utility” informs many theories of decision making, little is known about whether and how the human brain might compute this quantity. This article reviews a series of functional magnetic resonance imaging (FMRI) experiments designed to localize brain regions that respond in anticipation of increasing amounts of monetary incentives. These studies collectively suggest that anticipation of increasing monetary gains activates a subcortical region of the ventral striatum in a magnitude-proportional manner. This ventral striatal activation is not evident during anticipation of losses. Actual gain outcomes instead activate a region of the mesial prefrontal cortex. During anticipation of gain, ventral striatal activation is accompanied by feelings characterized by increasing arousal and positive valence. These findings affirm the role of emotion in the anticipation of incentives, and may provide an initial step towards a neural reconstruction of expected utility.     

Duplication, Growth and ‘Total Return Economics’

Maintenance consumption is an expense recovered in product prices, yet also a source of taste satisfaction which must be exhausted, rather than reinvested, from the capital affording it. This riddle is solved in the duplication rules: the cost of maintenance consumption is recovered in pay and prices, but an equal flow is exhausted from the human capital of the worker earning the pay. The rules impact tradition in several ways. If output is defined in principle as value added, then it cannot also be described as consumption plus net investment without double-counting the maintenance consumption recovered in prices. Also rate of return in the stationary state is not zero, but is the rate sufficient to offset the exhaustion of individual human capital. The rules lead to new insights into economic return, and support an argument that all growth at the scale of closure is due to productivity gain rather than to thrift.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.