中国信托业服务创新能力评价

分析了中国信托业的发展现状和服务创新特点,采用综合指数评价法和层次分析法构建了中国信托业服务创新能力评价指标体系,据此评价了2009—2013年中国信托业的服务创新能力,证明了该指标体系的信度和效度。根据评价结果,提出了提升中国信托业服务创新能力的途径和策略。     

中国高技术服务业服务创新能力评价

基于创新效用的角度,采用综合指数评价法和层次分析法,从创新投入、创新产出和创新环境3个维度构建了我国高技术服务业服务创新能力评价指标体系。基于该评价指标体系,对2008年北京市高技术服务业的服务创新能力进行评价,以验证其信度和效度。根据评价结果,提出提升北京市高技术服务业的服务创新能力的策略。     

中国高技术服务业服务创新能力评价

基于创新效用的角度,采用综合指数评价法和层次分析法,从创新投入、创新产出和创新环境3个维度构建了我国高技术服务业服务创新能力评价指标体系。基于该评价指标体系,对2008年北京市高技术服务业的服务创新能力进行评价,以验证其信度和效度。根据评价结果,提出提升北京市高技术服务业的服务创新能力的策略。     

企业价值创新能力评价指标体系研究

从企业价值创新的全新经营理念和战略思维出发,探究了企业价值创新能力评价定位与评价指标体系设立的原则,最后从提供新产品和服务的能力、技术与管理创新能力、开拓市场与创新产品能力、产品功能创新能力以及突破现有市场边界能力等五个方面来构建企业价值创新能力评价的指标体系。     

国际大都市创新评价指标体系构建及应用

采用内容分析法、综合指数评价法、层次分析法、比较分析及统计分析等方法,通过系统分析国际大都市创新发展的特点、创新驱动的特性和要素,借鉴四种典型的创新指数,构建了国际大都市创新评价指标体系,即国际大都市创新指数(international metropolis innovation index,IMII),并选取了14个具有代表性的国际大都市进行了实证分析,以检验该评价指标体系的信度和效度。研究表明,该评价指标体系体现了服务创新与技术创新融合发展的趋势,能够比较全面、客观地评价国际大都市的创新能力。     

基于BP神经网络的产业集群创新能力评价实证研究

正确分析和评价产业集群的创新能力,对于提高企业的整体创新水平、增强产业国际竞争力具有重要的现实意义。在阐述产业集群创新能力及其评价指标体系的基础上,应用BP神经网络理论,以实例验证了这一评价方法,以期对产业集群创新能力评价提供参考。     

中国特色世界一流大学建设背景下高校科技创新能力评价研究

在中国特色社会主义进入新时代的历史节点,习近平总书记多次发出建设中国特色世界一流大学的号召,研究高校科技创新能力有助于探索中国特色世界一流大学建设。基于资源配置理论,从科技创新资源条件、科技创新资源投入、科技创新活力和科技创新产出效益4个方面构建高校科技创新能力评价指标体系,并利用2010—2020年中国高校数据,从科技创新视角分析如何建设中国特色世界一流大学。结果发现,中国高校科技创新能力整体处于上升趋势,高校科技创新能力发展呈现区域性、阶段性和差异性特征;科技创新产出效益对高校科技创新能力的影响较大,而科技创新活力的影响较小;资本因素对科技创新能力的影响较大,而人才因素的影响较小。因此,中国高校应该重视优秀人才培养,参与国际交流和社会服务。研究结论有助于丰富新时代背景下高校科技创新能力研究,为中国特色世界一流大学建设提供参考依据。     

区域科技创新能力评价研究

在经济全球化和科技革命的今天,科技创新是提高地区经济竞争力的关键,是现代化建设的核心。文章在提出科技创新评价指标体系的基础上,引入新的工具(网络层次分析法)来确定评价指标权重,并对中国大陆31个省市区的科技创新能力进行实证分析和评价,对区域科技创新能力评价方法进行了有益的探索,这将对地区发展有一定的借鉴价值。     

中国国有商业银行服务创新测评

基于对服务创新及其在国有商业银行发展中的重要作用的认识,本文试图通过分析我国国有商业银行的发展特征及其服务创新的现状,构建适合我国国有商业银行的服务创新评价指标体系,并以中国工商银行、中国银行、中国建设银行、交通银行4家上市的我国国有商业银行及部分股份制商业银行为例,对其服务创新进行测评比较,从而对我国国有商业银行的服务创新水平做出较客观的科学评价,并提出相应的发展建议。     

武汉城市创新系统创新能力评价与提升对策

界定了城市创新系统的概念、结构和特征,提出了城市创新系统子系统创新能力评价的指标体系,并对武汉市城市创新系统的创新能力进行了评价。最后,提出了提升武汉市城市创新系统创新能力的对策。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Interest on reserves and inflation

The payment of interest on reserves has been a common practice in inflationary economies. This policy may seem paradoxical since it involves returning part of the seigniorage, generated by the inflation process, with the intention to finance the fiscal deficit. This paper argues that the motivation for this policy can be captured by the discretionary regime, where the policymaker pays interest on reserves because he is concerned with the erosion of real liquidity by inflation, which is in part beyond his control. However, this policy is an unlikely outcome in the commitment regime, where the policymaker is in full control of inflation.     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.